Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Chuck Petersen
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #14

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2013 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Keisean Lucier-South 6'5" 225 Senior OLB 4.65
Riley Brand 6'1" 220 Senior S 4.55 [Nevada]
LJ Northington 6'1" 185 Junior QB 4.55

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Aisea Tongilava 6'0" 210 Senior LB 4.6 [California]
Brady Petersen 6'0" 195 Senior DB [Navy]
Cory Hollowell 6'3" 180 Senior S [Idaho State]
Luke Langdon 5'11" 180 Senior QB [Army]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athleticism, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Experience, Depth

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 56.8
2013 National Rank: #122
2013 State Rank: #20
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2014 Starting Power Rating: 54.5
2014 National Rank: #135
2014 State Rank: #24
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 47.8
Dynasty National Rank: #54
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 8
Dynasty Record: 98-32 (35-19 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 7-4
2013 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2013 Points For Average: 32.1
2013 Points Against Average: 14.3
2013 Differential: +17.8
2013 Wins: #92 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (29-13), #386 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (54-14), #1557 Palmdale (21-6), #1670 Redlands East Valley (Redlands) (49-13), #2053 Damien (La Verne) (36-10), #2618 Cabrillo (Long Beach) (55-0), #6845 Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (50-6)
2013 Losses: #1 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (42-24), #10 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (15-0), #54 Poly (Long Beach) (18-16), #106 Servite (Anaheim) (20-19)
2013 Opponents W-L: 80-49
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/29/14 Dominguez (Compton) (33-7)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/29 vs Dominguez (Compton), 9/6 vs Centennial (Corona), 9/12 at Yorba Linda, 9/19 vs Cabrillo (Long Beach), 9/26 at Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 10/10 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/17 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/24 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/30 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 11/7 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (84.9), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (84.5), Servite (Anaheim) (79.6)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Cabrillo (Long Beach) (18.9), Dominguez (Compton) (25.6), Yorba Linda (33.3)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 39.1 (47.9 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 57.4
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +18.3
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #4
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2014 Projected League Finish: 5th
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%