Homer (AK)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mariners
Colors: Blue/Vegas Gold
Coach: Josh Fraley
League: Northern Lights
Playoff Division: Medium
Playoff Division Rank: #6

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2013 JV Record: 3-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Sheldon Hutt 6'5" 185 Senior QB/CB 4.50
Josh Fisk 5'9" 180 Junior RB/S 4.45
Michael Swaboda 5'9" 180 Junior FB/LB 4.55

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Solid Core Of Returning Seniors, Defense
Team Weaknesses: OL Needs To Continue Improvement

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: -15.1
2013 National Rank: #11260
2013 State Rank: #24
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2014 Starting Power Rating: -5.6
2014 National Rank: #9245
2014 State Rank: #19
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): -0.3
Dynasty National Rank: #8354
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.3
Dynasty Record: 50-44 (23-29 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 1-6
2013 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2013 Points For Average: 7.1
2013 Points Against Average: 39.7
2013 Differential: -32.6
2013 Wins: #13951 Skyview (Soldotna) (30-0)
2013 Losses: #952 Soldotna (59-0), #2980 Palmer (48-0), #4133 Kenai Central (Kenai) (78-6), #4565 Lathrop (Fairbanks) (49-0), #7955 Kodiak (26-8), #10801 Houston (Big Lake) (18-6)
2013 Opponents W-L: 38-24
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/30/14 Barrow (30-12)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/16 Eielson [Ben] (Eielson AFB), 8/23 at Kodiak, 8/30 at Barrow, 9/6 at Valdez, 9/13 at Ketchikan, 9/20 Soldotna, 9/27 at Kenai Central (Kenai), 10/4 Houston (Big Lake)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Soldotna (36.8), Kenai Central (Kenai) (16.3), Kodiak (0)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Valdez (-55.9), Barrow (-24.9), Houston (Big Lake) (-12.7)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.8
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.6
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.4
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #21
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10147
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-4
2014 Projected League Finish: 4th
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%