Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Black
Coach: Josh Henderson
League: Frontier
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: East Valley (XIII)
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 11
Returning Defensive Starters: 11
2013 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Matt Woodard 6'0" 195 Senior QB/S 4.90
Michael Herwig 5'10" 185 Sophomore LB/RB 4.81
Tucker Robertson 6'3" 235 Sophomore DE/OL 4.90

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Senior Leadership

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: -18.3
2013 National Rank: #11794
2013 State Rank: #836
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +15.5
2014 Starting Power Rating: -2.8
2014 National Rank: #8595
2014 State Rank: #608
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 2.8
Dynasty National Rank: #7289
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.6
Dynasty Record: 70-56 (24-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 4-6
2013 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (3rd)
2013 Points For Average: 25.4
2013 Points Against Average: 23.4
2013 Differential: +2
2013 Wins: #12166 Heritage Christian (North Hills) (27-6), #13347 Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu) (36-14), #13983 Malibu (52-13), #13983 Malibu (20-7)
2013 Losses: #8612 Santa Clara (Oxnard) (42-21), #8612 Santa Clara (Oxnard) (35-26), #8745 Fillmore (42-30), #8745 Fillmore (13-6), #10580 Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach) (28-8), #12352 Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (34-28)
2013 Opponents W-L: 50-56
Recent Section Championships: 2004 (XII)
Recent League Championships: 2010, 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 2
Streak List: 11/8/13 Malibu (52-13), 8/29/14 Fillmore (27-0)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/29 vs Fillmore, 9/6 vs Heritage Christian (Northridge), 9/12 vs Western Christian (Upland), 9/19 vs Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach), 10/3 vs Santa Paula, 10/10 at Santa Clara (Oxnard), 10/17 vs Malibu, 10/24 at Santa Paula, 10/31 vs Santa Clara (Oxnard), 11/7 at Malibu
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Western Christian (Upland) (9), Santa Paula (4.2), Fillmore (-7.2)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Malibu (-33.4), Heritage Christian (Northridge) (-28.7), Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach) (-20.1)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17.3
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.1
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.2
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #820
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11258
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2014 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%