Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 6A Region I District 5 (moving from 5A Region I District 4)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #22

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 4

SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Montrel Wilson 6'2" 190 Senior DB [Baylor]

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Nick Foster 5'11" 170 Senior DB 4.42 [TCU]
Anthony Villalobos 6'3" 250 Senior DE 4.8 [Navy]
Ryan Parker 6'3" 190 Senior WR 4.51 [TCU]
Jake Gnacinski 6'2" 225 Senior QB [Army]

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 54.8
2013 National Rank: #173
2013 State Rank: #25
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2014 Starting Power Rating: 51.1
2014 National Rank: #205
2014 State Rank: #35
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 26.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1177
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 24.4
Dynasty Record: 62-56 (42-33 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 9-4
2013 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (tied for 2nd)
2013 Points For Average: 37.7
2013 Points Against Average: 17.7
2013 Differential: +20
2013 Wins: #438 San Angelo Central (San Angelo) (39-7), #601 Northwest (Justin) (28-10), #622 Dallas Jesuit (Dallas) (63-19), #1268 Arlington (45-9), #1328 Keller (44-14), #1820 Richland (North Richland Hills) (42-22), #2621 Haltom (Haltom City) (40-6), #3078 Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (48-20), #6496 Grapevine (45-7)
2013 Losses: #45 Carroll (Southlake) (31-27), #125 Hebron (Carrollton) (30-23), #133 Ryan [Billy] (Denton) (42-37), #1154 Keller Central (Keller) (13-9)
2013 Opponents W-L: 82-64
Recent League Championships: 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/30/14 Lee [Robert E.] (Tyler) (48-26)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/30 at Lee [Robert E.] (Tyler), 9/5 at Lake Ridge (Mansfield), 9/12 Midlothian, 9/25 Northwest (Justin), 10/3 at Timber Creek (Fort Worth), 10/10 at Guyer [John H.] (Denton), 10/16 Ryan [Billy] (Denton), 10/23 at Keller Central (Keller), 10/31 Keller, 11/7 at Nelson [Byron] (Trophy Club)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Guyer [John H.] (Denton) (79.2), Ryan [Billy] (Denton) (47.2), Northwest (Justin) (43.9)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Lake Ridge (Mansfield) (14.4), Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (21.6), Midlothian (32.7)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31.3 (39.7 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 38.4
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.1
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #127
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2014 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%