Downey [Thomas] (Modesto, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Knights
Colors: Navy/White
Coach: Jeremy Plaa
League: Modesto Metro
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I-VI
Playoff Division Rank: #51

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2013 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Ty Nelson 6'4" 270 Senior DE 5.20
Josh Roy 6'4" 300 Senior G 5.80
PJ Wilson 5'9" 170 Senior QB 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Balanced Offense, QB
Team Weaknesses: Youth On Defense

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 15.1
2013 National Rank: #4414
2013 State Rank: #339
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2014 Starting Power Rating: 13.3
2014 National Rank: #4490
2014 State Rank: #333
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 5
Dynasty National Rank: #6536
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 9.6
Dynasty Record: 59-56 (35-26 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 7-4
2013 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (tied for 1st)
2013 Points For Average: 34.8
2013 Points Against Average: 28.5
2013 Differential: +6.3
2013 Wins: #6063 Beyer [Fred C.] (Modesto) (49-18), #6386 Golden Valley (Merced) (42-39), #7837 Gregori [Joseph A.] (Modesto) (27-15), #8428 Enochs [James C.] (Modesto) (62-22), #9936 Davis [Grace] (Modesto) (44-7), #10452 Ceres (64-21), #12677 Johansen (Modesto) (56-13)
2013 Losses: #684 Central Catholic (Modesto) (38-0), #845 Grant (Sacramento) (52-14), #1003 Merced (43-6), #4099 Modesto (46-19)
2013 Opponents W-L: 59-60
Recent League Championships: 2013 (tied for 1st), 2012, 2003 (tied for 1st; Central California)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/29 vs Pitman [John H.] (Turlock), 9/5 McNair [Ronald E.] (Stockton), 9/12 Tokay (Lodi), 9/19 vs El Capitan (Merced), 9/26 vs Beyer [Fred C.] (Modesto), 10/3 Modesto, 10/10 at Johansen (Modesto), 10/17 vs Enochs [James C.] (Modesto), 10/31 Davis [Grace] (Modesto), 11/7 Gregori [Joseph A.] (Modesto)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Pitman [John H.] (Turlock) (16.9), Modesto (16.4), Tokay (Lodi) (14.3)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: McNair [Ronald E.] (Stockton) (-26), Johansen (Modesto) (-24.5), Davis [Grace] (Modesto) (-2.2)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.6 (12.2 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.9
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.7
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #575
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7475
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2014 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 6%