GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: 5A Conference 14
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #1
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2013 JV Record: 6-0-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Brandon Polk 5'9" 160 Senior WR/KR 4.35 [Penn State]
Mark Birmingham 6'3" 230 Junior TE/HB 4.56
Bryan Capozzoli 6'2" 235 Senior DL/G 4.90
D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Trace McSorley 6'1" 180 Senior ATH 4.54 [Penn State]
Melvin Holland Jr. 6'3" 190 Senior WR 4.5 [Minnesota]
Jared Coker 6'4" 280 Senior OL 5.20 [Richmond]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience At WR, Lines
Team Weaknesses: Replacing Key Starters
RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 55.8
2013 National Rank: #147
2013 State Rank: #5
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.8
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +1.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.5
2014 Starting Power Rating: 49.7
2014 National Rank: #239
2014 State Rank: #5
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 33.2
Dynasty National Rank: #520
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 19.1
Dynasty Record: 80-22 (39-7 in league)
HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 13-2
2013 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2013 Points For Average: 39.8
2013 Points Against Average: 12.7
2013 Differential: +27.1
2013 Wins: #300 Colonial Forge (Stafford) (28-19), #316 North Stafford (Stafford) (27-25), #805 Broad Run (Ashburn) (34-0), #805 Broad Run (Ashburn) (37-34), #974 Mountain View (Stafford) (49-7), #1116 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (36-7), #1203 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (45-16), #3907 Brooke Point (Stafford) (63-13), #4778 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (35-3), #5317 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (57-0), #5317 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (52-7), #8162 Park View (Sterling) (43-0), #9338 Freedom (South Riding) (56-6)
2013 Losses: #90 Bird [Lloyd C.] (Chesterfield) (35-28), #316 North Stafford (Stafford) (19-7)
2013 Opponents W-L: 109-74
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013, 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/29/14 Brooke Point (Stafford) (38-13)
SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/29 Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/5 at Colonial Forge (Stafford), 9/12 Loudoun County (Leesburg), 9/19 at North Stafford (Stafford), 9/26 Woodgrove (Purcellville), 10/2 Freedom (South Riding), 10/17 at Broad Run (Ashburn), 10/24 at Park View (Sterling), 10/31 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 11/7 at Tuscarora (Leesburg)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Colonial Forge (Stafford) (55.7), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (49.5), North Stafford (Stafford) (49.1)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Freedom (South Riding) (-7.5), Park View (Sterling) (-0.9), Potomac Falls (Sterling) (11)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.1 (32.2 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.3
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.2
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #14
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #816
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2014 Projected League Finish: 1st
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 7%