Winters Mill (Westminster, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Coach: Matthew Miller
League: Monocacy Valley - Chesapeake
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #33

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2012 JV Record: 9-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jake Utz 5'10" 230 LB/RB 4.80
Darnell Tillman 6'2" 215 TE/DE 4.60
Cole Myers 6'1" 180 QB/OLB 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athletic Skill Positions, Agile Linemen, Smart
Team Weaknesses: New Coach, Many New Faces

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 5.4
2012 National Rank: #6656
2012 State Rank: #110
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -4.1
2013 Starting Power Rating: -0.1
2013 National Rank: #8023
2013 State Rank: #134
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 4.6
Dynasty National Rank: #6719
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.7
Dynasty Record: 26-24 (18-14 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 5-5
2012 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 4th)
2012 Points For Average: 22.5
2012 Points Against Average: 23.6
2012 Differential: -1.1
2012 Wins: #4133 South Carroll (Sykesville) (28-14), #7410 Liberty (Sykesville) (36-14), #9118 Tuscarora (Frederick) (28-6), #10665 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (27-8), #11303 North Carroll (Hampstead) (25-10)
2012 Losses: #580 Westminster (41-7), #2498 Frederick (41-28), #4898 Century (Sykesville) (53-20), #5866 Manchester Valley (Manchester) (21-20), #6113 Oakdale (Ijamsville) (28-6)
2012 Opponents W-L: 47-59
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/19/12 North Carroll (Hampstead) (25-10), 10/26/12 Liberty (Sykesville) (36-14), 11/2/12 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (27-8)

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 9/6 at Tuscarora (Frederick), 9/12 Middletown, 9/20 at Oakdale (Ijamsville), 9/27 North Carroll (Hampstead), 10/4 Westminster, 10/11 at South Carroll (Sykesville), 10/17 at Manchester Valley (Manchester), 10/25 Century (Sykesville), 11/1 Liberty (Sykesville), 11/8 at Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Middletown (60.1), Westminster (33), South Carroll (Sykesville) (16.2)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: North Carroll (Hampstead) (-14.9), Tuscarora (Frederick) (-4.7), Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (-1.2)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.3
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.7
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #68
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3947
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2013 Projected League Finish: 6th
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%