Thousand Oaks (CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Kelly Green/White
Coach: Mike Leibin
League: Marmonte - West
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #24

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2012 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Case Cookus 6'3" 195 Senior QB 4.60
Nick Julier 6'1" 190 Senior WR/DB 4.60
Matt Spadaro 6'5" 255 Senior T 4.95

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Nathan DeBeikes 6'2" 195 Senior RB 4.54 [BYU]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athletic, Strong-Armed QB, Secondary
Team Weaknesses: Roster Size, Depth On Lines

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 29.5
2012 National Rank: #1836
2012 State Rank: #159
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.6
2013 Starting Power Rating: 23.5
2013 National Rank: #2457
2013 State Rank: #201
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 36.2
Dynasty National Rank: #605
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.1
Dynasty Record: 36-22 (23-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 5-5
2012 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2012 Points For Average: 20.8
2012 Points Against Average: 23.2
2012 Differential: -2.4
2012 Wins: #1211 Newbury Park (20-17), #1307 Camarillo [Adolfo] (Camarillo) (27-8), #5322 Agoura (33-20), #5811 West Ranch (Valencia) (28-10), #6231 Calabasas (17-7)
2012 Losses: #133 Oaks Christian (Westlake Village) (36-6), #302 Franklin (Elk Grove) (38-28), #494 Moorpark (44-8), #1211 Newbury Park (23-20), #1400 Nordhoff (Ojai) (29-21)
2012 Opponents W-L: 70-41
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 at San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano), 9/6 Newbury Park, 9/12 Camarillo [Adolfo] (Camarillo), 9/20 vs West Ranch (Valencia), 9/27 Nordhoff (Ojai), 10/4 at Oaks Christian (Westlake Village), 10/11 Moorpark, 10/18 at Calabasas, 10/25 Agoura
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Oaks Christian (Westlake Village) (65.5), Moorpark (43.3), Newbury Park (37.9)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: West Ranch (Valencia) (-3.6), Agoura (14), Calabasas (17.2)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31.2
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.5
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.7
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #72
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #449
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-5
2013 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%