Palm Bay (Melbourne, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Pirates
Colors: Black/Red/Silver
Coach: Dan Burke
League: 5A District 12 (moving from 6A District 13)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2012 JV Record: 5-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Brian Fallace 6'4" 190 Senior QB 4.80
Shawn Davis 5'9" 175 Senior DB 4.40
Kelvin Williams 6'2" 180 Senior DB 4.50

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Alex Jasmin 6'1" 170 Senior DB 4.5

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Caleb Alves 6'3" 185 Senior WR [South Alabama]
BJ Ross 5'9" 170 Senior DB 4.70 [Memphis]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Running Game, Solid QB
Team Weaknesses: Replacing Front Seven, Kicking Game

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 42
2012 National Rank: #604
2012 State Rank: #38
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2013 Starting Power Rating: 37.6
2013 National Rank: #788
2013 State Rank: #61
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 40.3
Dynasty National Rank: #366
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.7
Dynasty Record: 46-15 (16-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 8-5
2012 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2012 Points For Average: 23.2
2012 Points Against Average: 12.6
2012 Differential: +10.6
2012 Wins: #1060 Heritage (Palm Bay) (7-6), #1060 Heritage (Palm Bay) (21-14), #2323 Bayside (Palm Bay) (43-14), #2577 South Fork (Stuart) (56-7), #2657 Rockledge (21-10), #3092 Astronaut (Titusville) (29-0), #4209 Melbourne (41-0), #7505 Eau Gallie (Melbourne) (42-6)
2012 Losses: #14 Central (Miami) (38-2), #410 Osceola (Kissimmee) (14-7), #543 Mainland (Daytona Beach) (20-14), #545 Central (Fort Pierce) (14-12), #2858 Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) (21-7)
2012 Opponents W-L: 102-45
Recent League Championships: 2012 (6A District 13), 2011 (6A District 13), 2010 (4A District 13), 2008 (5A District 13), 2007 (tied for 1st; 5A District 13), 2006 (5A District 4), 2005 (5A District 4), 2003 (5A District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 Port St. Lucie, 9/6 Heritage (Palm Bay), 9/13 at Melbourne, 9/20 at Rockledge, 9/27 Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie), 10/4 Titusville, 10/18 Astronaut (Titusville), 10/25 at Merritt Island, 11/1 Satellite (Satellite Beach), 11/8 at Bayside (Palm Bay)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Heritage (Palm Bay) (37.1), Merritt Island (35.7), Astronaut (Titusville) (28)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Satellite (Satellite Beach) (1.9), Titusville (7.8), Port St. Lucie (9.3)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.5 (34 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.1
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.4
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #181
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1892
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2013 Projected League Finish: 1st
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 18%