North Tonawanda (NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lumberjacks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Tony Truilizio
League: Section 6 A - North
Playoff Division: A
Playoff Division Rank: #38

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2012 JV Record: 3-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Chris Woodard 6'3" 200 Junior QB 4.85
Niamaiah Stone 5'10" 190 Senior RB/OLB 4.65
Taylor Mellott 5'10" 205 Junior ILB 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Backfield, Young/Experienced QB, Defense Needs To Force More Turnovers
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On DL, WRs, Special Teams Are A Big Concern

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: -3.9
2012 National Rank: #8943
2012 State Rank: #305
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.6
2013 Starting Power Rating: 0
2013 National Rank: #7744
2013 State Rank: #234
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 21.4
Dynasty National Rank: #2511
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.8
Dynasty Record: 39-11 (19-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 4-5
2012 League Record/Finish: 1-5 (7th)
2012 Points For Average: 21.9
2012 Points Against Average: 29.2
2012 Differential: -7.3
2012 Wins: #8249 Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (31-28), #11260 Tonawanda (17-14), #11480 Bennett/Olmsted (Buffalo) (23-18), #12619 Lake Shore (Angola) (33-6)
2012 Losses: #1083 Sweet Home (Amherst) (46-19), #5002 Grand Island (35-21), #5385 McKinley (Buffalo) (48-32), #7143 Starpoint (Lockport) (48-7), #9060 Williamsville North (Williamsville) (20-14)
2012 Opponents W-L: 39-46
Recent State Championships: 2009 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2009 (Section 6 AA - North), 2008 (Section 6 AA - North), 2007 (Section 6 AA - North), 2005 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA North), 2004 (Section 6 AA North), 2003 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/12/12 Tonawanda (17-14), 10/18/12 Bennett/Olmsted (Buffalo) (23-18), 10/25/12 Lake Shore (Angola) (33-6)

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 9/6 at Lake Shore (Angola), 9/13 Grand Island, 9/21 at Kenmore East (Tonawanda), 9/28 at Sweet Home (Amherst), 10/4 Starpoint (Lockport), 10/12 at Niagara-Wheatfield (Sanborn), 10/18 Tonawanda
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Sweet Home (Amherst) (33.8), Grand Island (12.5), Starpoint (Lockport) (-0.5)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Niagara-Wheatfield (Sanborn) (-22.2), Lake Shore (Angola) (-21.8), Tonawanda (-14.7)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1 (0.3 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.9
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.9
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #171
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8874
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-3
2013 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%