GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Tom Thenell
League: 5A Super 6
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #12
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2012 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Reed Stables 6'3" 290 Senior OL
Ryan Manning 6'4" 175 Junior WR
Terrell Johnson 6'3" 280 Junior DL
ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
JK Scott 6'5" 185 Senior K [Alabama]
D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Patrick Healy 6'0" 210 Senior LB 4.9 [Air Force]
Timothy Coleman 6'3" 245 Senior DE 4.8 [Colorado]
Jesse Springer 6'4" 250 Senior OG [Air Force]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Positions, Tradition
Team Weaknesses: Lack Depth, All New Starters
RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 41.5
2012 National Rank: #640
2012 State Rank: #8
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2013 Starting Power Rating: 31.3
2013 National Rank: #1400
2013 State Rank: #18
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 54.6
Dynasty National Rank: #49
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 23.3
Dynasty Record: 55-10 (25-4 in league)
HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 6-5
2012 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2012 Points For Average: 25.5
2012 Points Against Average: 17.5
2012 Differential: +8
2012 Wins: #76 Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch) (14-13), #1280 Columbine (Littleton) (28-18), #1830 Regis Jesuit (Aurora) (35-7), #2224 Overland (Aurora) (25-20), #2287 Lakewood (28-3), #5522 Bear Creek (Lakewood) (52-0)
2012 Losses: #1 De La Salle (Concord, CA) (30-13), #238 Cherokee Trail (Aurora) (24-21), #422 Grandview (Aurora) (34-30), #874 Arapahoe (Centennial) (16-14), #1831 Chatfield (Littleton) (28-21)
2012 Opponents W-L: 87-42
Recent State Championships: 2010, 2009, 2008, 2004
Recent League Championships: 2010 (5A West Metro), 2009 (5A Centennial), 2007 (5A Centennial), 2006 (5A Centennial), 2005 (5A Centennial), 2004 (5A Centennial), 2003 (5A Centennial)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/23 Ralston Valley (Arvada), 9/7 Lone Peak (Highland, UT), 9/13 at Regis Jesuit (Aurora), 9/19 at Grandview (Aurora), 9/27 Bear Creek (Lakewood), 10/4 at Arapahoe (Centennial), 10/10 at Columbine (Littleton), 10/18 Chatfield (Littleton), 10/25 Lakewood
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Lone Peak (Highland, UT) (44.9), Grandview (Aurora) (44.3), Ralston Valley (Arvada) (43.5)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Bear Creek (Lakewood) (8.8), Lakewood (24.7), Regis Jesuit (Aurora) (29.6)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 34.9 (38.8 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 32.8
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.1
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #264
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-5
2013 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%