Lutheran (Orange, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold Coach: Chuck Petersen League: Trinity Section: Southern Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I) Playoff Division Rank: #15 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2012 JV Record: 4-6 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Aisea Tongilava 6'1" 215 Senior DE 4.55 [San Jose State] Keisean Lucier 6'5" 220 Junior DE 4.75 Ahkeli Rembert 6'0" 175 Senior WR 4.60 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION John Lopez 6'5" 305 Senior OL 6.0 [UCLA] Colin Sutton 6'5" 285 Senior OL [Colorado] Chase Dominguez 6'4" 195 Senior OL Willie Fletcher 6'3" 180 Senior S [Arkansas State] A.J. Holman Senior ATH 5.2 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Speed, Experience At Skill Positions, Senior Leadership Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On OL, LB RATINGS 2012 Final Power Rating: 44.8 2012 National Rank: #460 2012 State Rank: #53 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.9 Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +1.9 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.2 2013 Starting Power Rating: 42.1 2013 National Rank: #489 2013 State Rank: #47 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 47 Dynasty National Rank: #165 2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.7 Dynasty Record: 33-21 (12-13 in league) HISTORICAL 2012 Overall Record: 6-4 2012 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (tied for 4th) 2012 Points For Average: 26 2012 Points Against Average: 19.6 2012 Differential: +6.4 2012 Wins: #485 Servite (Anaheim) (28-14), #1798 La Habra (27-7), #2892 Redondo (Redondo Beach) (55-21), #3353 Damien (La Verne) (31-14), #3632 Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (30-22), #5366 El Modena (Orange) (42-7) 2012 Losses: #23 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (21-6), #31 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (32-21), #65 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (17-14), #698 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (41-6) 2012 Opponents W-L: 58-53 Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI) Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire) Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none SCHEDULE 2013 Schedule: 8/30 vs Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach), 9/6 vs Damien (La Verne), 9/13 vs Palmdale, 9/20 at Cabrillo (Long Beach), 9/27 vs Redlands East Valley (Redlands), 10/11 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 10/18 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/25 vs Servite (Anaheim), 11/1 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 11/8 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana) Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (95.7), Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (76.4), Servite (Anaheim) (53) Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (19), Cabrillo (Long Beach) (20.7), Damien (La Verne) (23.6) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 38 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 45.3 2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.3 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #10 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #31 2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2013 Projected League Finish: 6th 2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |