Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Chuck Petersen
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2012 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Aisea Tongilava 6'1" 215 Senior DE 4.55 [San Jose State]
Keisean Lucier 6'5" 220 Junior DE 4.75
Ahkeli Rembert 6'0" 175 Senior WR 4.60

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
John Lopez 6'5" 305 Senior OL 6.0 [UCLA]
Colin Sutton 6'5" 285 Senior OL [Colorado]
Chase Dominguez 6'4" 195 Senior OL
Willie Fletcher 6'3" 180 Senior S [Arkansas State]
A.J. Holman Senior ATH 5.2

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Speed, Experience At Skill Positions, Senior Leadership
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On OL, LB

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 44.8
2012 National Rank: #460
2012 State Rank: #53
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.9
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +1.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.2
2013 Starting Power Rating: 42.1
2013 National Rank: #489
2013 State Rank: #47
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 47
Dynasty National Rank: #165
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.7
Dynasty Record: 33-21 (12-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 6-4
2012 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (tied for 4th)
2012 Points For Average: 26
2012 Points Against Average: 19.6
2012 Differential: +6.4
2012 Wins: #485 Servite (Anaheim) (28-14), #1798 La Habra (27-7), #2892 Redondo (Redondo Beach) (55-21), #3353 Damien (La Verne) (31-14), #3632 Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (30-22), #5366 El Modena (Orange) (42-7)
2012 Losses: #23 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (21-6), #31 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (32-21), #65 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (17-14), #698 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (41-6)
2012 Opponents W-L: 58-53
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 vs Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach), 9/6 vs Damien (La Verne), 9/13 vs Palmdale, 9/20 at Cabrillo (Long Beach), 9/27 vs Redlands East Valley (Redlands), 10/11 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 10/18 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/25 vs Servite (Anaheim), 11/1 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 11/8 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (95.7), Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (76.4), Servite (Anaheim) (53)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (19), Cabrillo (Long Beach) (20.7), Damien (La Verne) (23.6)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 38
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 45.3
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.3
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #10
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #31
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2013 Projected League Finish: 6th
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%