Kettle Run (Nokesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Cougars
Coach: Jeff Lloyd
League: 3A Conference 27 (moving from AA Evergreen)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2012 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
De Jackson 5'10" 210 Senior RB/LB 4.61
Austin Goins 6'0" 220 Senior FB/DE 4.80
David Eldridge 6'1" 160 Junior FL/DB 4.48

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Mike Parker 6'4" 200 Senior DB 4.43
Josh Tapscott 5'8" 185 Senior ATH 4.5 [Wyoming]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Big/Physical Up-Front, Run Game
Team Weaknesses: Lost A Lot On Defense, Extensive LB Losses

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 35
2012 National Rank: #1200
2012 State Rank: #34
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2013 Starting Power Rating: 24.8
2013 National Rank: #2245
2013 State Rank: #70
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 11.1
Dynasty National Rank: #4898
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.1
Dynasty Record: 31-27 (11-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 11-3
2012 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2012 Points For Average: 30.6
2012 Points Against Average: 12.2
2012 Differential: +18.4
2012 Wins: #1470 Monticello (Charlottesville) (24-21), #2023 Skyline (Front Royal) (28-6), #2023 Skyline (Front Royal) (31-14), #2687 Warren County (Front Royal) (28-21), #2687 Warren County (Front Royal) (24-21), #5904 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (42-13), #5999 Eastern View (Culpeper) (27-0), #6610 Handley [John] (Winchester) (34-0), #8100 Fluvanna County (Palmyra) (56-0), #9730 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (50-6), #9730 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (31-0)
2012 Losses: #902 Monroe [James] (Fredericksburg) (37-30), #2893 Liberty (Bealeton) (15-14), #3956 Fauquier (Warrenton) (17-10)
2012 Opponents W-L: 85-71
Recent League Championships: 2011 (AA Evergreen)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/13 at Millbrook (Winchester), 9/20 at Sherando (Stephens City), 9/27 at Skyline (Front Royal), 10/4 Handley [John] (Winchester), 10/11 at Fauquier (Warrenton), 10/18 Culpeper County (Culpeper), 10/25 at Brentsville District (Nokesville), 11/1 Liberty (Bealeton), 11/8 Eastern View (Culpeper)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Tuscarora (Leesburg) (34.6), Skyline (Front Royal) (28.1), Sherando (Stephens City) (21.9)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Culpeper County (Culpeper) (-7.6), Brentsville District (Nokesville) (-7.3), Handley [John] (Winchester) (5.6)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.6 (19.5 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.6
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #140
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3451
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2013 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 2%