Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Black
Coach: Josh Henderson
League: Frontier
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: East Valley (XII)
Playoff Division Rank: #22

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2012 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Matt Woodard 6'0" 175 Junior QB/SS 4.83

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: More Experienced, Young Talent
Team Weaknesses: Question Marks At Some Positions

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: -25.1
2012 National Rank: #12852
2012 State Rank: #912
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.6
2013 Starting Power Rating: -22.6
2013 National Rank: #12482
2013 State Rank: #875
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): -3.7
Dynasty National Rank: #9100
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 18.9
Dynasty Record: 26-30 (11-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 2-8
2012 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th)
2012 Points For Average: 11.3
2012 Points Against Average: 26.9
2012 Differential: -15.6
2012 Wins: #14005 Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu) (29-0), #14473 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (2-0)
2012 Losses: #1400 Nordhoff (Ojai) (48-7), #3147 Mission Prep (San Luis Obispo) (50-12), #4275 St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano) (42-0), #8477 Fillmore (27-6), #11143 Malibu (9-0), #11332 Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (28-18), #11865 Heritage Christian (North Hills) (34-20), #12331 Santa Clara (Oxnard) (31-19)
2012 Opponents W-L: 64-45
Recent Section Championships: 2004 (XII)
Recent League Championships: 2010, 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: 1 officially, 0 on field
Streak List: 11/2/12 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (2-0)

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 vs Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu), 9/6 vs Heritage Christian (North Hills), 9/13 at Frazier Mountain (Lebec), 9/20 vs Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach), 10/4 vs Fillmore, 10/11 at Malibu, 10/18 vs Santa Clara (Oxnard), 10/25 at Fillmore, 11/1 at Santa Clara (Oxnard), 11/8 vs Malibu
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Fillmore (4.3), Santa Clara (Oxnard) (-5.9), Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach) (-9)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu) (-47.1), Malibu (-17.6), Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (-15.8)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.6
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.3
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -3.7
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #834
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11770
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2013 Projected League Finish: 4th
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%