Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Red/White/Black Coach: Josh Henderson League: Frontier Section: Southern Playoff Division: East Valley (XII) Playoff Division Rank: #22 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 2012 JV Record: 6-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Matt Woodard 6'0" 175 Junior QB/SS 4.83 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: More Experienced, Young Talent Team Weaknesses: Question Marks At Some Positions RATINGS 2012 Final Power Rating: -25.1 2012 National Rank: #12852 2012 State Rank: #912 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.6 2013 Starting Power Rating: -22.6 2013 National Rank: #12482 2013 State Rank: #875 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): -3.7 Dynasty National Rank: #9100 2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 18.9 Dynasty Record: 26-30 (11-9 in league) HISTORICAL 2012 Overall Record: 2-8 2012 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th) 2012 Points For Average: 11.3 2012 Points Against Average: 26.9 2012 Differential: -15.6 2012 Wins: #14005 Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu) (29-0), #14473 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (2-0) 2012 Losses: #1400 Nordhoff (Ojai) (48-7), #3147 Mission Prep (San Luis Obispo) (50-12), #4275 St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano) (42-0), #8477 Fillmore (27-6), #11143 Malibu (9-0), #11332 Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (28-18), #11865 Heritage Christian (North Hills) (34-20), #12331 Santa Clara (Oxnard) (31-19) 2012 Opponents W-L: 64-45 Recent Section Championships: 2004 (XII) Recent League Championships: 2010, 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha) Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: 1 officially, 0 on field Streak List: 11/2/12 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (2-0) SCHEDULE 2013 Schedule: 8/30 vs Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu), 9/6 vs Heritage Christian (North Hills), 9/13 at Frazier Mountain (Lebec), 9/20 vs Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach), 10/4 vs Fillmore, 10/11 at Malibu, 10/18 vs Santa Clara (Oxnard), 10/25 at Fillmore, 11/1 at Santa Clara (Oxnard), 11/8 vs Malibu Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Fillmore (4.3), Santa Clara (Oxnard) (-5.9), Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach) (-9) Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Kilpatrick [Vernon] (Malibu) (-47.1), Malibu (-17.6), Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (-15.8) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.6 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.3 2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -3.7 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #834 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11770 2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8 2013 Projected League Finish: 4th 2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |