Fauquier (Warrenton, VA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Colors: Red/Gray Coach: Jamie Carter League: 4A Conference 22 (moving from AA Evergreen) Playoff Division: 4A Playoff Division Rank: #18 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 8 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 2012 JV Record: 6-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Louis Heisler 6'1" 195 Junior LB/QB 4.80 Dominic Porter 6'2" 220 Senior DE 4.90 Ryan McCray 6'4" 265 Senior DE 4.90 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Entire OL Returns, Top DL Are Back, Talent At LB Team Weaknesses: New QB, Unproven CBs RATINGS 2012 Final Power Rating: 17 2012 National Rank: #3956 2012 State Rank: #126 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4 2013 Starting Power Rating: 20.1 2013 National Rank: #3092 2013 State Rank: #99 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 19.3 Dynasty National Rank: #2934 2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.2 Dynasty Record: 32-21 (14-9 in league) HISTORICAL 2012 Overall Record: 7-4 2012 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (4th) 2012 Points For Average: 25.2 2012 Points Against Average: 17.6 2012 Differential: +7.6 2012 Wins: #1200 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (17-10), #4826 Millbrook (Winchester) (21-14), #5918 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (16-13), #6610 Handley [John] (Winchester) (41-21), #9730 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (53-0), #9803 Culpeper County (Culpeper) (30-8), #10255 Wood [James] (Winchester) (48-8) 2012 Losses: #1470 Monticello (Charlottesville) (44-14), #2023 Skyline (Front Royal) (20-9), #2687 Warren County (Front Royal) (14-0), #2893 Liberty (Bealeton) (42-28) 2012 Opponents W-L: 61-63 Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none SCHEDULE 2013 Schedule: 8/30 Loudoun County (Leesburg), 9/6 at Skyline (Front Royal), 9/13 Handley [John] (Winchester), 9/20 at Millbrook (Winchester), 9/27 Wood [James] (Winchester), 10/11 Kettle Run (Nokesville), 10/18 at Eastern View (Culpeper), 10/25 at Culpeper County (Culpeper), 11/1 Brentsville District (Nokesville), 11/8 at Liberty (Bealeton) Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Loudoun County (Leesburg) (34.7), Skyline (Front Royal) (28.1), Kettle Run (Nokesville) (26.2) Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Wood [James] (Winchester) (-13.2), Culpeper County (Culpeper) (-7.6), Brentsville District (Nokesville) (-7.3) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9 (14.9 overall) 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.6 2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.7 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #168 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4396 2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3 2013 Projected League Finish: 4th 2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |