Fauquier (Warrenton, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Red/Gray
Coach: Jamie Carter
League: 4A Conference 22 (moving from AA Evergreen)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #18

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2012 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Louis Heisler 6'1" 195 Junior LB/QB 4.80
Dominic Porter 6'2" 220 Senior DE 4.90
Ryan McCray 6'4" 265 Senior DE 4.90

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Entire OL Returns, Top DL Are Back, Talent At LB
Team Weaknesses: New QB, Unproven CBs

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 17
2012 National Rank: #3956
2012 State Rank: #126
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2013 Starting Power Rating: 20.1
2013 National Rank: #3092
2013 State Rank: #99
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 19.3
Dynasty National Rank: #2934
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.2
Dynasty Record: 32-21 (14-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 7-4
2012 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (4th)
2012 Points For Average: 25.2
2012 Points Against Average: 17.6
2012 Differential: +7.6
2012 Wins: #1200 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (17-10), #4826 Millbrook (Winchester) (21-14), #5918 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (16-13), #6610 Handley [John] (Winchester) (41-21), #9730 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (53-0), #9803 Culpeper County (Culpeper) (30-8), #10255 Wood [James] (Winchester) (48-8)
2012 Losses: #1470 Monticello (Charlottesville) (44-14), #2023 Skyline (Front Royal) (20-9), #2687 Warren County (Front Royal) (14-0), #2893 Liberty (Bealeton) (42-28)
2012 Opponents W-L: 61-63
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 Loudoun County (Leesburg), 9/6 at Skyline (Front Royal), 9/13 Handley [John] (Winchester), 9/20 at Millbrook (Winchester), 9/27 Wood [James] (Winchester), 10/11 Kettle Run (Nokesville), 10/18 at Eastern View (Culpeper), 10/25 at Culpeper County (Culpeper), 11/1 Brentsville District (Nokesville), 11/8 at Liberty (Bealeton)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Loudoun County (Leesburg) (34.7), Skyline (Front Royal) (28.1), Kettle Run (Nokesville) (26.2)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Wood [James] (Winchester) (-13.2), Culpeper County (Culpeper) (-7.6), Brentsville District (Nokesville) (-7.3)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9 (14.9 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.6
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.7
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #168
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4396
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2013 Projected League Finish: 4th
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%