GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: 5A Conference 14 (moving from AA Dulles)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #1
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2012 JV Record: 8-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Trace McSorley 6'1" 180 Senior QB/FS 4.50 [Vanderbilt]
Nick Merletti 6'4" 255 Senior OL/DL 5.00
Jared Coker 6'4" 280 Senior OL/DL 5.30 [Bowling Green]
D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Matt Rolin 6'4" 205 Senior LB 4.60 [Florida]
Cam Serigne 6'3" 225 Senior TE 4.7 [Wake Forest]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 4-Year Starter At QB, Experience Of Playing In Playoff Games, Linemen Coker/Merletti Are Experienced Dominating Players On Both Sides Of Ball
Team Weaknesses: Need To Replace Outstanding Players
RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: 58.5
2012 National Rank: #94
2012 State Rank: #3
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.6
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.8
2013 Starting Power Rating: 55.8
2013 National Rank: #113
2013 State Rank: #2
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 40.8
Dynasty National Rank: #347
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 17.8
Dynasty Record: 54-12 (31-4 in league)
HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 15-0
2012 League Record/Finish: 8-0 (1st)
2012 Points For Average: 41.8
2012 Points Against Average: 6.5
2012 Differential: +35.3
2012 Wins: #406 Heritage (Lynchburg) (52-0), #1046 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (31-0), #1046 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (45-0), #1768 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (35-6), #1790 Courtland (Spotsylvania) (45-15), #2395 Broad Run (Ashburn) (20-15), #2893 Liberty (Bealeton) (42-14), #3663 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (49-17), #3912 Patriot (Nokesville) (42-14), #5078 Powhatan (34-7), #5904 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (49-3), #5918 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (45-0), #8745 Dominion (Sterling) (41-7), #9424 Heritage (Leesburg) (54-0), #11230 Park View (Sterling) (43-0)
2012 Losses: none
2012 Opponents W-L: 91-80
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: 29
Streak List: 9/10/11 Park View (Sterling) (53-3), 9/16/11 Dominion (Sterling) (48-0), 9/23/11 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (51-6), 9/30/11 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (38-0), 10/6/11 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (50-0), 10/14/11 Heritage (Leesburg) (56-14), 10/21/11 Freedom (South Riding) (45-3), 10/28/11 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (37-0), 11/4/11 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (35-7), 11/11/11 Park View (Sterling) (49-21), 11/18/11 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (29-19), 11/25/11 Powhatan (21-7), 12/3/11 Grafton (Yorktown) (31-0), 12/10/11 Christiansburg (28-26), 8/24/12 Patriot (Nokesville) (42-14), 8/31/12 Broad Run (Ashburn) (20-15), 9/7/12 Park View (Sterling) (43-0), 9/14/12 Dominion (Sterling) (41-7), 9/21/12 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (49-3), 9/28/12 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (35-6), 10/5/12 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (49-17), 10/12/12 Heritage (Leesburg) (54-0), 10/26/12 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (45-0), 11/2/12 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (45-0), 11/9/12 Powhatan (34-7), 11/16/12 Liberty (Bealeton) (42-14), 11/23/12 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (31-0), 12/1/12 Courtland (Spotsylvania) (45-15), 12/8/12 Heritage (Lynchburg) (52-0)
SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 8/30 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/6 Colonial Forge (Stafford), 9/12 at Loudoun County (Leesburg), 9/20 North Stafford (Stafford), 9/27 at Woodgrove (Purcellville), 10/4 at Freedom (South Riding), 10/18 Broad Run (Ashburn), 10/25 Park View (Sterling), 11/1 at Potomac Falls (Sterling), 11/8 Tuscarora (Leesburg)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: North Stafford (Stafford) (48), Colonial Forge (Stafford) (40.9), Loudoun County (Leesburg) (34.7)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Park View (Sterling) (-19.1), Freedom (South Riding) (-6.7), Potomac Falls (Sterling) (8.5)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.1 (21.8 overall)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.8
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: +11.7
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #51
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1561
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2013 Projected League Finish: 1st
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 77%