Avon Old Farms (Avon, CT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Beavers
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Bill Mella
League: Housatonic (moving from Erickson)
State (Plays In): Prep Schools
Playoff Division: NEPSAC A
Playoff Division Rank: #10

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Connor Kelly 6'0" 185 Senior WR/DB 4.60
Chris Clark 6'5" 235 Junior TE/WR 4.60
Mickoy Nichol 5'10" Senior DB/RB 4.70

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
John Van Allen 6'3" 190 Senior ATH

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Players, Depth On Lines
Team Weaknesses: ILB

RATINGS
2012 Final Power Rating: -0.9
2012 National Rank: #8264
2012 State Rank: #82 (in CT)
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.2
2013 Starting Power Rating: 0
2013 National Rank: #7744
2013 State Rank: #74 (in CT)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2012 Rating): 3.3
Dynasty National Rank: #7115
2013 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.1
Dynasty Record: 16-25 (12-18 in league)

HISTORICAL
2012 Overall Record: 1-7
2012 League Record/Finish: 1-5 (tied for 6th)
2012 Points For Average: 25.4
2012 Points Against Average: 28.6
2012 Differential: -3.2
2012 Wins: #9313 Hotchkiss (Lakeville) (42-20)
2012 Losses: #2006 Salisbury School (Salisbury) (35-28), #3719 Kent School (Kent) (27-20), #4200 Loomis Chaffee (Windsor) (36-23), #4333 Taft (Watertown) (39-34), #4609 Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY) (14-8), #7169 Deerfield Academy (Deerfield, MA) (16-13), #8235 Brunswick (Greenwich) (42-35)
2012 Opponents W-L: 38-26
Winning Streak Entering 2013 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2013 Schedule: 9/14 at Loomis Chaffee (Windsor), 9/21 at Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY), 9/28 Berkshire (Sheffield, MA), 10/5 Kent School (Kent), 10/12 at Hotchkiss (Lakeville), 10/19 Taft (Watertown), 10/26 vs Brunswick (Greenwich), 11/2 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH), 11/9 at Salisbury School (Salisbury)
Highest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (26.4), Salisbury School (Salisbury) (26.4), Kent School (Kent) (18.1)
Lowest-Rated 2013 Regular Season Opponents: Berkshire (Sheffield, MA) (-20.7), Hotchkiss (Lakeville) (-5.5), Brunswick (Greenwich) (-2.9)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.7
2013 vs. 2012 Schedule Strength Comparison: -3.3
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #23
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5377
2013 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2013 Projected League Finish: 5th
2013 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%