St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White/Red
Coach: Gary Galloway
League: North Central II/Bay Football (moving from North Central II)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: V
Playoff Division Rank: #10

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2011 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Michael Carroll 6'1" 190 Senior WR/LB 5.00
Derek Murphy 5'9" 155 Junior RB/LB 4.70
Mitch Sheppard 6'2" 170 Senior QB/DB 4.80

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Passing Game, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Experience

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: -20.3
2011 National Rank: #12221
2011 State Rank: #892
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.3
2012 Starting Power Rating: -26.8
2012 National Rank: #13024
2012 State Rank: #931
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): -5
Dynasty National Rank: #9864
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 21.8
Dynasty Record: 60-40 (24-14 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 4-6
2011 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (3rd)
2011 Points For Average: 26.3
2011 Points Against Average: 29.8
2011 Differential: -3.5
2011 Wins: #12051 Clear Lake (Lakeport) (42-21), #13755 Cloverdale (20-19), #14276 Calistoga (35-7), #14276 Calistoga (33-14)
2011 Losses: #4910 St. Helena (52-21), #9188 Tomales (22-12), #9188 Tomales (44-19), #9893 Upper Lake (20-14), #9893 Upper Lake (46-40), #10052 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (53-27)
2011 Opponents W-L: 55-51-5
Recent Section Championships: 2008, 2005 (B)
Recent League Championships: 2005 (North Central I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/25 St. Bernard's (Eureka), 9/8 St. Helena, 9/15 Cloverdale, 9/21 vs Stellar Prep (Hayward), 9/29 California School for the Deaf (Fremont), 10/6 vs St. Elizabeth (Oakland), 10/13 Emery (Emeryville), 10/20 Tomales, 10/27 at Upper Lake, 11/2 vs Calistoga
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: St. Helena (13.9), St. Bernard's (Eureka) (-2), California School for the Deaf (Fremont) (-6.2)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Calistoga (-45.3), St. Elizabeth (Oakland) (-42.5), Emery (Emeryville) (-35.2)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -15.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -16.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.1
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #933
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11710
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2012 Projected League Finish: 4th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%