GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Brown/Gold/White
Coach: Nick Navarro
League: West Catholic
Section: Central Coast
Playoff Division: none
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2011 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Braden Bishop 6'1" 175 Senior WR
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Weaknesses: Experience
RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 36.5
2011 National Rank: #996
2011 State Rank: #99
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.7
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2012 Starting Power Rating: 25.1
2012 National Rank: #2130
2012 State Rank: #187
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 36.7
Dynasty National Rank: #282
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.4
Dynasty Record: 62-36-5 (32-24-2 in league)
HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 6-6
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 4th)
2011 Points For Average: 25.8
2011 Points Against Average: 23.8
2011 Differential: +2
2011 Wins: #999 St. Ignatius (San Francisco) (38-35), #1155 Valley Christian (San Jose) (24-21), #1250 Oak Grove (San Jose) (20-17), #1544 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (35-14), #4778 Willow Glen (San Jose) (35-21), #6273 Riordan (San Francisco) (41-0)
2011 Losses: #47 Bellarmine (San Jose) (40-23), #273 Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (31-13), #472 Mitty (San Jose) (21-17), #740 Palo Alto (39-23), #913 Palma (Salinas) (20-15), #1250 Oak Grove (San Jose) (27-25)
2011 Opponents W-L: 93-49-4
Recent League Championships: 2003
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 Oak Grove (San Jose), 9/7 vs Palma (Salinas), 9/14 at Willow Glen (San Jose), 9/29 vs Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco), 10/5 Valley Christian (San Jose), 10/12 St. Ignatius (San Francisco), 10/19 vs Bellarmine (San Jose), 10/26 Riordan (San Francisco), 11/2 Mitty (San Jose), 11/10 at Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Bellarmine (San Jose) (50.7), Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (46.6), Palma (Salinas) (42.1)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Willow Glen (San Jose) (9.5), Riordan (San Francisco) (14.2), Oak Grove (San Jose) (29.5)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.8 (35.5 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 33.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +4
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #41
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #146
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2012 Projected League Finish: 7th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%