Southern Nash (Bailey, NC)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Firebirds
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Brian Foster
League: 3A Big East
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #34

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2011 JV Record: 10-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Deon Lavender 5'11" 185 Junior QB 4.70
Cameron Gardner 6'6" 280 Senior OL 5.30 [Wake Forest]
Alonte Thomas 6'0" 205 Senior LB/TE 4.80

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Josh Sessoms 6'3" 185 Senior DB 4.6 [North Carolina State]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: OL, QB
Team Weaknesses: RB Experience

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 19.7
2011 National Rank: #3351
2011 State Rank: #87
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2012 Starting Power Rating: 15.3
2012 National Rank: #3924
2012 State Rank: #114
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 9.8
Dynasty National Rank: #4862
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6.7
Dynasty Record: 53-51 (20-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 7-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2011 Points For Average: 29.1
2011 Points Against Average: 21.4
2011 Differential: +7.7
2011 Wins: #3075 Bunn (21-17), #5186 South Granville (Creedmoor) (42-20), #5598 Roanoke Rapids (14-7), #5866 Southwest Edgecombe (Pinetops) (43-0), #6408 Northern Nash (Rocky Mount) (28-13), #6770 Rocky Mount (34-9), #6964 Beddingfield [Edgar T.] (Wilson) (56-28)
2011 Losses: #1057 Hunt [James B.] (Wilson) (31-27), #1823 Nash Central (Nashville) (34-14), #1916 Triton (Erwin) (42-13), #5006 Fike [Ralph L.] (Wilson) (34-28)
2011 Opponents W-L: 72-55-1
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/17/12 Southwest Edgecombe (Pinetops) (28-24)

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/17 at Southwest Edgecombe (Pinetops), 8/24 at Beddingfield [Edgar T.] (Wilson), 8/31 at Bunn, 9/7 Roanoke Rapids, 9/14 South Granville (Creedmoor), 9/28 Fike [Ralph L.] (Wilson), 10/5 at Northern Nash (Rocky Mount), 10/12 Hunt [James B.] (Wilson), 10/19 Rocky Mount, 10/26 at Nash Central (Nashville)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Hunt [James B.] (Wilson) (38), Bunn (29.4), Nash Central (Nashville) (27.5)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Rocky Mount (5.2), Southwest Edgecombe (Pinetops) (8.8), Northern Nash (Rocky Mount) (9.3)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.5 (16.7 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.4
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.9
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #63
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2452
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%