San Marin (Novato, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: Dan Hickey
League: Marin County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: IV
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 9.2
2011 National Rank: #5659
2011 State Rank: #457
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: 0
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 8
2012 National Rank: #5671
2012 State Rank: #441
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 6.4
Dynasty National Rank: #6021
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.8
Dynasty Record: 46-51 (33-35 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 6-5
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th)
2011 Points For Average: 21.1
2011 Points Against Average: 19.9
2011 Differential: +1.2
2011 Wins: #5779 Acalanes (Lafayette) (13-10), #7326 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (22-14), #8802 Terra Linda (San Rafael) (28-24), #9284 Redwood (Larkspur) (47-12), #11820 Lincoln [Abraham] (San Francisco) (41-0), #13213 San Rafael (42-7)
2011 Losses: #591 Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (45-23), #686 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (38-0), #2595 Novato (34-7), #4871 Analy (Sebastopol) (22-3), #5466 Tamalpais (Mill Valley) (13-6)
2011 Opponents W-L: 66-55-1
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/25 Northgate (Walnut Creek), 9/1 Analy (Sebastopol), 9/7 vs Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 9/15 at Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo), 9/22 at Marin Catholic (Kentfield), 9/29 Novato, 10/6 San Rafael, 10/12 at Justin-Siena (Napa), 10/20 Redwood (Larkspur), 10/27 at Tamalpais (Mill Valley)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (47.9), Novato (23.7), Tamalpais (Mill Valley) (10)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: San Rafael (-37.3), Redwood (Larkspur) (-13.6), Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (-5)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.3 (11 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.6
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #578
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6718
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2012 Projected League Finish: 4th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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