GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: II Section II
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #1
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2011 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Carlos Carroll 6'3" 215 Senior LB 4.60 [SMU]
Cameron Denson 6'1" 170 Junior WR/DB 4.50
Travis Fister 6'3" 275 Senior OL [SMU]
D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Davierre Cummins 6'2" 245 Senior DE [South Dakota State]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Passing Game, Several Returning Players
Team Weaknesses: DL, Graduated A Few Big Playmakers
RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 36.4
2011 National Rank: #1001
2011 State Rank: #18
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.7
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +3.6
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.8
2012 Starting Power Rating: 44.4
2012 National Rank: #364
2012 State Rank: #7
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 29.3
Dynasty National Rank: #808
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.9
Dynasty Record: 80-24 (45-2 in league)
HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 9-2
2011 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 38.5
2011 Points Against Average: 12.5
2011 Differential: +26
2011 Wins: #672 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (27-13), #2626 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (21-12), #2835 Nogales (45-0), #3369 Tucson (52-14), #3636 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (55-6), #5849 Flowing Wells (Tucson) (42-0), #5871 Mountain View (Tucson) (34-7), #7150 Rincon (Tucson) (52-30), #11215 Marana (Tucson) (57-0)
2011 Losses: #66 Chaparral (Scottsdale) (22-21), #1582 Notre Dame Prep (Scottsdale) (33-17)
2011 Opponents W-L: 74-50
Recent League Championships: 2011, 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/18 Crespi (Encino, CA), 8/24 at Chaparral (Scottsdale), 8/31 Tucson, 9/7 Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 9/14 at Mountain View (Tucson), 9/21 at Marana (Tucson), 9/28 Canyon del Oro (Tucson), 10/5 at Flowing Wells (Tucson), 10/19 at Rincon (Tucson), 10/26 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Chaparral (Scottsdale) (45.5), Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (43.8), Crespi (Encino, CA) (40.6)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Marana (Tucson) (-13.2), Rincon (Tucson) (3.1), Flowing Wells (Tucson) (7)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.1 (21.1 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1881
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2012 Projected League Finish: 1st
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 35%