Ryan [Billy] (Denton, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Raiders
Colors: Navy/Red/White
Coach: Joey Florence
League: 5A Region I District 5 (moving from 4A Region I District 4)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #83

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Xavier Gray 5'9" 170 Junior QB/WR
Mitchell Bridges 5'8" 170 Junior QB/DB
Austin Coker 5'5" 230 Senior C

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECTS
Craig Moore 5'10" 165 Senior ATH 4.4
Matt Griffin 6'2" 280 Senior OL 5.30

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Mario Edwards 6'4" 290 Senior DT 4.80 [Florida State]
Alex De La Torre 6'1" 225 Senior LB 4.60 [Texas]
Jordan Richmond 6'1" 220 Senior LB 4.55 [Texas A&M]
Jordan Williams 6'5" 250 Senior OL [Missouri]
Dominique Banks 6'3" 255 Senior DE 4.6 [Baylor]
Sam Johnson 6'3" 185 Senior WR 4.6
Tevin McCray 6'4" 300 Senior OL 5.3
Trey Mohair 5'11" 180 Senior ATH 4.5

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Winning Program
Team Weaknesses: Graduated Large Senior Class, Inexperience On Defense

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 47.7
2011 National Rank: #306
2011 State Rank: #39
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -14
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 30.7
2012 National Rank: #1388
2012 State Rank: #187
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 41.8
Dynasty National Rank: #133
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.1
Dynasty Record: 94-25 (50-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 12-1
2011 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 36.2
2011 Points Against Average: 16.8
2011 Differential: +19.4
2011 Wins: #398 Rider (Wichita Falls) (20-17), #586 Mesquite (28-22), #910 Lake Dallas (Corinth) (42-28), #1184 Sulphur Springs (25-9), #2220 Caprock (Amarillo) (43-21), #2810 Little Elm (35-10), #2944 The Colony (42-20), #3051 Andress (El Paso) (38-14), #3597 Wichita Falls (49-13), #4774 Smith [Newman] (Carrollton) (48-24), #6130 Denton (45-7), #8559 North Garland (Garland) (49-14)
2011 Losses: #104 Midway (Waco) (19-7)
2011 Opponents W-L: 78-73
Recent League Championships: 2011 (4A Region I District 4), 2010 (4A Region I District 4), 2009 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2003 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 Corsicana, 9/7 Rider (Wichita Falls), 9/14 Wylie East (Wylie), 9/28 at McKinney, 10/12 Marcus (Flower Mound), 10/19 Hebron (Carrollton), 10/26 at Lewisville, 11/1 Coppell, 11/9 at Flower Mound
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Rider (Wichita Falls) (55.4), Wylie East (Wylie) (43.4), Marcus (Flower Mound) (43.2)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Lewisville (13.1), McKinney (14.2), Flower Mound (30.6)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.4 (28.3 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.3
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +16.9
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #19
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #104
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2012 Projected League Finish: 4th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%