Natick (MA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Redmen Colors: Blue/Red Coach: Mark Mortarelli League: Bay State - Herget Playoff Division: E-2A Playoff Division Rank: #6 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2011 JV Record: 8-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Troy Flutie 6'0" 175 Junior QB 4.60 Brian Dunlap 5'11" 170 Sophomore WR 4.60 Mike Dunlap 6'1" 190 Senior LB/WR 4.80 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience At Skill Positions, Team Speed Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On Lines RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 10.7 2011 National Rank: #5304 2011 State Rank: #84 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: 15 2012 National Rank: #3991 2012 State Rank: #52 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 18 Dynasty National Rank: #2612 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.8 Dynasty Record: 83-21 (64-16 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 8-3 2011 League Record/Finish: 7-3 (tied for 4th) 2011 Points For Average: 31.4 2011 Points Against Average: 18.9 2011 Differential: +12.5 2011 Wins: #2705 Needham (49-24), #2928 Weymouth (South Weymouth) (28-21), #8648 Newton North (Newtonville) (34-14), #9191 Braintree (21-12), #9464 Brookline (21-7), #10296 Wellesley (39-20), #11644 Dedham (49-19), #11683 Milton (49-0) 2011 Losses: #3841 Walpole (16-13), #4632 Framingham (48-28), #5053 Norwood (27-14) 2011 Opponents W-L: 58-66 Recent State Championships: 2005 (E-II) Recent League Championships: 2009 (Bay State - Carey), 2006, 2005 (Bay State Herget) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 9/7 Brookline, 9/14 Norwood, 9/21 at Milton, 9/29 at Newton North (Newtonville), 10/5 at Dedham, 10/12 at Weymouth (South Weymouth), 10/19 Braintree, 10/26 Needham, 11/3 at Wellesley, 11/9 Walpole, 11/22 vs Framingham Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Weymouth (South Weymouth) (20.6), Needham (20.6), Walpole (17.3) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Milton (-16.8), Dedham (-16.7), Wellesley (-9.6) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.8 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.2 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.6 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #121 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6871 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-2 2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 2% |