GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Navy/Silver
Coach: Eric Dick
League: 4A District 4
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #32
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Izajah Armstrong 6'2" 180 Senior QB 4.50
Justin McDaniels 6'2" 200 Senior LB/OL 4.80
Tobias Mack 6'1" Senior LB/OL 4.90
D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
MeKale McKay 6'4" 195 Senior WR 4.45 [Arkansas]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: LB, CB, Balanced Offense
Team Weaknesses: Experience
RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: -8.6
2011 National Rank: #10071
2011 State Rank: #149
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -7.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.8
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: -17.9
2012 National Rank: #11806
2012 State Rank: #177
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): -16.8
Dynasty National Rank: #12709
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.1
Dynasty Record: 20-74 [19-75 on the field] (9-32 in league)
HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 4-7
2011 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (tied for 2nd)
2011 Points For Average: 19.9
2011 Points Against Average: 37
2011 Differential: -17.1
2011 Wins: #5406 Western (Louisville) (14-13), #10301 Fairdale (33-30), #12600 Waggener (Louisville) (41-14), #13968 Atherton (Louisville) (48-0)
2011 Losses: #568 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (40-0), #2933 Jeffersontown (Louisville) (72-21), #3191 Collins [Martha Layne] (Shelbyville) (49-0), #3820 Holy Cross (Louisville) (70-20), #8574 Southern (Louisville) (34-14), #10014 Doss (Louisville) (35-0), #10034 Valley (Louisville) (50-28)
2011 Opponents W-L: 63-66
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/17 Southern (Louisville), 8/24 Holy Cross (Louisville), 8/31 Jeffersontown (Louisville), 9/14 at Atherton (Louisville), 9/21 at Western (Louisville), 9/28 Fairdale, 10/5 at Valley (Louisville), 10/12 at Doss (Louisville), 10/19 Waggener (Louisville), 10/26 at DuPont Manual (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: DuPont Manual (Louisville) (41.5), Jeffersontown (Louisville) (20.4), Holy Cross (Louisville) (17.4)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Atherton (Louisville) (-36.3), Waggener (Louisville) (-22.8), Fairdale (-9.7)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -0.9 (4 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #100
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7351
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2012 Projected League Finish: 5th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%