Mahar Regional (Orange, MA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Senators
Colors: Blue/Scarlet
Coach: Greg Scotland
League: Intercounty
Playoff Division: W-3
Playoff Division Rank: #6

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2011 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Troix Adams 6'0" 175 Junior RB/LB 4.85
Rafie Silva 5'8" 165 Senior RB/DB 4.82
Tristen Merchant 5'10" 165 Junior RB/LB 5.01

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Talented Youth
Team Weaknesses: Experience

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: -1.7
2011 National Rank: #8477
2011 State Rank: #148
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.5
2012 Starting Power Rating: -11.2
2012 National Rank: #10571
2012 State Rank: #211
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 5.7
Dynasty National Rank: #6256
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 16.9
Dynasty Record: 73-28 (51-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 8-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 7-1 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 23.4
2011 Points Against Average: 18.3
2011 Differential: +5.1
2011 Wins: #8493 Pioneer Valley Regional (Northfield) (18-16), #10524 Commerce (Springfield) (39-6), #11048 Frontier Regional (South Deerfield) (20-14), #11541 Athol (15-0), #12248 Turners Falls (Montague) (43-6), #12775 Mohawk Trail Regional (Buckland) (46-18), #13707 Greenfield (41-12), #13712 Sci-Tech (Springfield) (28-18)
2011 Losses: #2937 Mt. Greylock Regional (Williamstown) (30-6), #5540 Lee/Lenox Memorial (Lee) (44-7), #7204 Narragansett Regional (Baldwinville) (14-0), #8741 Belchertown (42-18)
2011 Opponents W-L: 81-56
Recent State Championships: 2009 (W-III), 2004 (C/W III), 2003 (C/W III)
Recent League Championships: 2011, 2009, 2004 (tied for 1st), 2003 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 9/7 Narragansett Regional (Baldwinville), 9/14 at Lee/Lenox Memorial (Lee), 9/22 at Pioneer Valley Regional (Northfield), 9/28 at Greenfield, 10/5 Frontier Regional (South Deerfield), 10/12 Belchertown, 10/19 at Mohawk Trail Regional (Buckland), 10/26 vs Commerce (Springfield), 11/2 Turners Falls (Montague), 11/9 Sci-Tech (Springfield), 11/22 at Athol
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Lee/Lenox Memorial (Lee) (9.6), Narragansett Regional (Baldwinville) (2.9), Pioneer Valley Regional (Northfield) (-1.8)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Greenfield (-33.2), Sci-Tech (Springfield) (-33.2), Mohawk Trail Regional (Buckland) (-24.1)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -16.1 (-7.2 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.3
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.8
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #228
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10959
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-5
2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%