Lutheran (Orange, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold Coach: Chuck Petersen League: Trinity Section: Southern Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I) Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 3 2011 JV Record: 9-1 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS John Lopez 6'5" 300 Senior G 5.20 [UCLA] Colin Sutton 6'5" 300 Senior G 5.30 [Colorado] Adam Connette 5'10" 175 Junior SB ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT A.J. Holman Senior ATH 5.5 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION Christo Kourtzidis 6'4" 240 Senior TE [Florida State] Deion Williams 6'0" 215 Senior LB [Duke] Darien Washington 5'11" 175 Senior DB [Washington] Willie Fletcher 6'3" 180 Senior DB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: OL, Athleticism, Team Speed Team Weaknesses: Experience, Depth RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 54.3 2011 National Rank: #137 2011 State Rank: #17 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -9.5 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.2 2012 Starting Power Rating: 44.6 2012 National Rank: #353 2012 State Rank: #42 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 47.1 Dynasty National Rank: #52 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.5 Dynasty Record: 85-24 (32-12 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 6-4 2011 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (tied for 5th) 2011 Points For Average: 27.4 2011 Points Against Average: 20.2 2011 Differential: +7.2 2011 Wins: #268 Tustin (45-6), #384 Bingham (South Jordan, UT) (42-7), #401 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (28-0), #954 La Habra (30-24), #1441 Los Osos (Rancho Cucamonga) (36-21), #2026 Redondo (Redondo Beach) (33-13) 2011 Losses: #10 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (31-10), #61 Servite (Anaheim) (21-8), #93 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (48-28), #1744 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (31-14) 2011 Opponents W-L: 79-41 Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI) Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 at Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach), 8/31 at Damien (La Verne), 9/7 vs El Modena (Orange), 9/14 vs La Habra, 9/21 at Redondo (Redondo Beach), 10/5 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/12 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/19 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/26 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 11/2 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (88.6), Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (59.7), Servite (Anaheim) (56.8) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: El Modena (Orange) (7.8), Wilson [Woodrow] (Long Beach) (21.4), Redondo (Redondo Beach) (21.9) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 45.2 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 39.8 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.4 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #18 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #53 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4 2012 Projected League Finish: 5th 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |