Lost River (Merrill, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Raiders
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Dennis Dunlea
League: 2A Special District 1
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 4.2
2011 National Rank: #6871
2011 State Rank: #69
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +1.6
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2012 Starting Power Rating: 3.4
2012 National Rank: #6815
2012 State Rank: #67
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 3.8
Dynasty National Rank: #6883
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2
Dynasty Record: 64-35 (31-10 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 8-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2011 Points For Average: 28.7
2011 Points Against Average: 17.7
2011 Differential: +11
2011 Wins: #8296 Modoc (Alturas, CA) (28-27), #9675 Gaston (35-6), #10726 Illinois Valley (Cave Junction) (17-7), #11263 Culver (49-0), #11726 Bonanza (12-7), #13015 Rogue River (31-0), #13219 Reedsport (55-0), #14647 Chiloquin (50-0)
2011 Losses: #2431 Gold Beach (36-27), #2634 Scio (50-0), #3939 Cascade Christian (Medford) (58-27), #6392 Lakeview/Paisley (Lakeview) (21-13)
2011 Opponents W-L: 83-50
Recent State Championships: 2004
Recent League Championships: 2010, 2009 (2A Southern Cascade), 2004 (2A Southern Cascade)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at Reedsport, 9/7 Etna (CA), 9/14 Gold Beach, 9/21 at Chiloquin, 9/28 Modoc (Alturas, CA), 10/5 at Cascade Christian (Medford), 10/12 Rogue River, 10/19 at Lakeview/Paisley (Lakeview), 10/26 at Illinois Valley (Cave Junction)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Gold Beach (20.3), Cascade Christian (Medford) (16.9), Lakeview/Paisley (Lakeview) (14.5)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Chiloquin (-57.7), Etna (CA) (-41.4), Reedsport (-27.9)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -16.6 (-4.9 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.4
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +4.2
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #153
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11710
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-3
2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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