Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lightning
Coach: Pete Hughes
League: Howard County
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #6

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2011 JV Record: 1-9
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Dominic Williams 6'3" 295 Senior OL/DL 5.50
Daquan Dixon 5'7" 180 Senior RB 4.50
Xavier Irani 6'0" 210 RB/LB 4.40

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Lines, Running Game
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience At QB

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 25.3
2011 National Rank: #2330
2011 State Rank: #38
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 25.6
2012 National Rank: #2051
2012 State Rank: #32
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 15.2
Dynasty National Rank: #3313
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.6
Dynasty Record: 61-31 (59-29 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 7-3
2011 League Record/Finish: 7-3 (tied for 4th)
2011 Points For Average: 32.9
2011 Points Against Average: 21.8
2011 Differential: +11.1
2011 Wins: #2402 Reservoir (Fulton) (32-20), #3039 Hammond (Columbia) (33-32), #4092 Wilde Lake (Columbia) (28-22), #7028 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (26-6), #8413 Centennial (Ellicott City) (42-21), #9154 Oakland Mills (Columbia) (42-7), #10973 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (55-14)
2011 Losses: #242 River Hill (Clarksville) (35-14), #1971 Glenelg (23-20), #2003 Howard (Ellicott City) (38-37)
2011 Opponents W-L: 49-58
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 4
Streak List: 10/14/11 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (26-6), 10/22/11 Hammond (Columbia) (33-32), 10/28/11 Wilde Lake (Columbia) (28-22), 11/4/11 Oakland Mills (Columbia) (42-7)

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at River Hill (Clarksville), 9/7 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City), 9/14 vs Glenelg, 9/21 at Atholton (Columbia), 9/29 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville), 10/5 vs Howard (Ellicott City), 10/13 at Wilde Lake (Columbia), 10/19 Oakland Mills (Columbia), 10/26 Reservoir (Fulton), 11/2 at Centennial (Ellicott City)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: River Hill (Clarksville) (48.4), Glenelg (34.4), Atholton (Columbia) (31)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (-13.1), Centennial (Ellicott City) (2), Oakland Mills (Columbia) (3.1)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.2
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.6
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #17
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2097
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2012 Projected League Finish: 5th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%