Kinkaid (Houston, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Stephen Hill
League: Southwest Prep II (moving from Southwest Prep I)
Playoff Division: Southwest Prep II
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Macon Wilson WR [Northwestern]
Matt Ellis DB
JT Granato QB

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Ford Childress 6'5" 210 Senior QB 4.85 [West Virginia]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: WR, Recent Success
Team Weaknesses: Graduated Excellent QB, Young Offense

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 45
2011 National Rank: #415
2011 State Rank: #58
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.7
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 41.3
2012 National Rank: #516
2012 State Rank: #79
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 22.4
Dynasty National Rank: #1780
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.9
Dynasty Record: 56-30 (26-20 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 10-0
2011 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 51.4
2011 Points Against Average: 13.1
2011 Differential: +38.3
2011 Wins: #1385 St. John's (Houston) (28-7), #2334 St. Mark's (Dallas) (56-13), #2398 Episcopal (Bellaire) (62-28), #4453 Casady (Oklahoma City, OK) (36-35), #5664 Second Baptist (Houston) (62-15), #5952 Anahuac (63-14), #6803 Westbury Christian (Houston) (34-0), #7290 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (49-7), #8979 Greenhill (Addison) (55-12), #13872 KIPP Academy (Houston) (69-0)
2011 Losses: none
2011 Opponents W-L: 43-55
Recent State Championships: 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I)
Recent League Championships: 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 16
Streak List: 10/1/10 Episcopal (Bellaire) (21-19), 10/8/10 KIPP Academy (Houston) (47-0), 10/15/10 Greenhill (Addison) (48-14), 10/22/10 St. Mark's (Dallas) (58-10), 10/29/10 St. John's (Houston) (34-23), 11/4/10 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (27-24), 8/26/11 Anahuac (63-14), 9/2/11 Westbury Christian (Houston) (34-0), 9/9/11 Second Baptist (Houston) (62-15), 9/16/11 Casady (Oklahoma City, OK) (36-35), 9/23/11 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (49-7), 9/30/11 Episcopal (Bellaire) (62-28), 10/6/11 KIPP Academy (Houston) (69-0), 10/14/11 Greenhill (Addison) (55-12), 10/21/11 St. Mark's (Dallas) (56-13), 10/28/11 St. John's (Houston) (28-7)

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at St. Pius X (Houston), 9/7 Bellville, 9/14 Houston Christian (Houston), 9/21 at Fort Worth Country Day (Fort Worth), 9/28 Kelly Catholic (Beaumont), 10/5 St. Andrew's (Austin), 10/12 Trinity Valley (Fort Worth), 10/19 at Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/26 vs St. John's (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Episcopal (Bellaire) (33.4), Bellville (32.1), St. John's (Houston) (28.1)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: St. Andrew's (Austin) (-10.1), Fort Worth Country Day (Fort Worth) (4.7), Houston Christian (Houston) (8.1)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.3
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.6
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +10.3
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #295
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1926
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2012 Projected League Finish: 1st
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 51%