Kinkaid (Houston, TX) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Colors: Purple/Gold Coach: Stephen Hill League: Southwest Prep II (moving from Southwest Prep I) Playoff Division: Southwest Prep II Playoff Division Rank: #1 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Macon Wilson WR [Northwestern] Matt Ellis DB JT Granato QB D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION Ford Childress 6'5" 210 Senior QB 4.85 [West Virginia] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: WR, Recent Success Team Weaknesses: Graduated Excellent QB, Young Offense RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 45 2011 National Rank: #415 2011 State Rank: #58 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.7 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: 41.3 2012 National Rank: #516 2012 State Rank: #79 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 22.4 Dynasty National Rank: #1780 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.9 Dynasty Record: 56-30 (26-20 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 10-0 2011 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st) 2011 Points For Average: 51.4 2011 Points Against Average: 13.1 2011 Differential: +38.3 2011 Wins: #1385 St. John's (Houston) (28-7), #2334 St. Mark's (Dallas) (56-13), #2398 Episcopal (Bellaire) (62-28), #4453 Casady (Oklahoma City, OK) (36-35), #5664 Second Baptist (Houston) (62-15), #5952 Anahuac (63-14), #6803 Westbury Christian (Houston) (34-0), #7290 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (49-7), #8979 Greenhill (Addison) (55-12), #13872 KIPP Academy (Houston) (69-0) 2011 Losses: none 2011 Opponents W-L: 43-55 Recent State Championships: 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I) Recent League Championships: 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 16 Streak List: 10/1/10 Episcopal (Bellaire) (21-19), 10/8/10 KIPP Academy (Houston) (47-0), 10/15/10 Greenhill (Addison) (48-14), 10/22/10 St. Mark's (Dallas) (58-10), 10/29/10 St. John's (Houston) (34-23), 11/4/10 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (27-24), 8/26/11 Anahuac (63-14), 9/2/11 Westbury Christian (Houston) (34-0), 9/9/11 Second Baptist (Houston) (62-15), 9/16/11 Casady (Oklahoma City, OK) (36-35), 9/23/11 Holland Hall (Tulsa, OK) (49-7), 9/30/11 Episcopal (Bellaire) (62-28), 10/6/11 KIPP Academy (Houston) (69-0), 10/14/11 Greenhill (Addison) (55-12), 10/21/11 St. Mark's (Dallas) (56-13), 10/28/11 St. John's (Houston) (28-7) SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/31 at St. Pius X (Houston), 9/7 Bellville, 9/14 Houston Christian (Houston), 9/21 at Fort Worth Country Day (Fort Worth), 9/28 Kelly Catholic (Beaumont), 10/5 St. Andrew's (Austin), 10/12 Trinity Valley (Fort Worth), 10/19 at Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/26 vs St. John's (Houston) Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Episcopal (Bellaire) (33.4), Bellville (32.1), St. John's (Houston) (28.1) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: St. Andrew's (Austin) (-10.1), Fort Worth Country Day (Fort Worth) (4.7), Houston Christian (Houston) (8.1) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.3 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.6 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +10.3 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #295 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1926 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1 2012 Projected League Finish: 1st 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 51% |