Holy Family Catholic (Victoria, MN)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Fire
Colors: Forest Green/Cream
Coach: Dave Hopkins
League: Wright County (moving from Freelance)
Playoff Division: AAAA
Playoff Division Rank: #17

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2011 JV Record: 3-8
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Connor Byrnes 5'11" 250 Senior FB/NG 5.44
Tom Green 6'5" 255 Senior C/DL 5.58
Derek Ogren 6'4" 195 Senior TE/LB 5.14

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Physical Size, Athleticism
Team Weaknesses: Experience, QB

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 18.2
2011 National Rank: #3645
2011 State Rank: #54
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -7.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 9.5
2012 National Rank: #5272
2012 State Rank: #91
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 9
Dynasty National Rank: #5128
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 1.7
Dynasty Record: 66-31 (40-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 10-2
2011 League Record/Finish:  
2011 Points For Average: 30.8
2011 Points Against Average: 19.8
2011 Differential: +11
2011 Wins: #4751 New London-Spicer (New London) (17-6), #5453 Escanaba (MI) (50-14), #5717 Waseca (22-13), #5717 Waseca (21-20), #7435 Washburn (Minneapolis) (49-31), #9722 Esko (41-33), #9999 New Ulm (40-12), #10325 Watertown-Mayer (Watertown) (29-12), #10338 Duluth Central (Duluth) (41-14), #12772 Jordan (42-0)
2011 Losses: #1225 St. Thomas Academy (Mendota Heights) (48-7), #1508 Fairmont (34-10)
2011 Opponents W-L: 62-57
Recent League Championships: 2010 (Minnesota River)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at Glencoe-Silver Lake (Glencoe), 9/7 Litchfield, 9/14 at Mound-Westonka (Mound), 9/21 Orono (Long Lake), 9/28 at Hutchinson, 10/5 at Waconia, 10/12 New London-Spicer (New London), 10/17 Delano
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Hutchinson (42.9), Glencoe-Silver Lake (Glencoe) (27.6), Delano (24.6)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Mound-Westonka (Mound) (-16.4), Orono (Long Lake) (0.5), Litchfield (8)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.7 (4.3 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.4
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +10.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #34
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2951
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-5
2012 Projected League Finish: 6th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%