Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Wildcats
Colors: Silver/Black/Midnight Blue
Coach: John Walsh
League: 4A Region I District 5 (moving from 5A Region I District 7)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jerrod Heard 6'2" 190 QB 4.60
Patrick Morris 6'3" 285 OL 5.40 [TCU]
Ellis Johnson 6'4" 200 WR 4.60

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECTS
Ellis Jefferson 6'4" 200 Senior WR [Arizona State]
John Schilleci 6'0" 190 Senior DB [North Texas]

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Dom Ramacher 6'3" 225 Senior ATH 4.70 [Oklahoma State]
Connor Crane 6'4" 185 Senior WR 4.50 [Stanford]
Cody Henessee 6'3" 250 Senior DT 4.9 [Rice]
Dan Kottman 6'0" 245 Senior DT 4.68 [San Diego State]
Diontre Thomas 6'2" 235 Senior DE [ULM]
John Ferguson 6'4" 240 Senior OL [Navy]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Returning Starters, Recent Success, QB
Team Weaknesses: Young Defense

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 46
2011 National Rank: #369
2011 State Rank: #49
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -10
2012 Starting Power Rating: 44.5
2012 National Rank: #357
2012 State Rank: #53
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 31.6
Dynasty National Rank: #599
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.9
Dynasty Record: 47-31 (23-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 8-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (tied for 2nd)
2011 Points For Average: 31.3
2011 Points Against Average: 23.6
2011 Differential: +7.7
2011 Wins: #544 Hebron (Carrollton) (41-35), #609 Garland (24-21), #807 Coppell (31-7), #941 Horn [Dr. John] (Mesquite) (31-23), #1049 Fossil Ridge (Keller) (41-21), #2371 Northwest (Justin) (49-20), #2601 Keller (35-21), #5326 Saginaw (35-0)
2011 Losses: #14 Carroll (Southlake) (42-29), #186 Mansfield (48-24), #317 Cedar Hill (24-21), #439 Keller Central (Keller) (21-14)
2011 Opponents W-L: 81-56
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 Cedar Hill, 9/6 at Heritage (Colleyville), 9/14 at Marcus (Flower Mound), 9/27 Azle, 10/5 at Denton, 10/11 Nelson [Byron] (Trophy Club), 10/19 at Lake Dallas (Corinth), 10/26 Rider (Wichita Falls), 11/2 Wichita Falls, 11/9 at Brewer (Fort Worth)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Rider (Wichita Falls) (55.4), Cedar Hill (55), Heritage (Colleyville) (45.8)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Denton (-0.8), Azle (12.6), Brewer (Fort Worth) (16)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 34.8 (40.4 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.3
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.5
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #71
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #367
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%