Grand Junction (CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Orange/Black
Coach: Robbie Owens
League: 4A/5A Southwest
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2011 JV Record: 9-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Austin Berk 6'5" 240 Senior DE/TE 4.90 [Colorado State]
James Diamante 6'4" 285 Senior OL/DL 5.00
Kyler Rose 6'5" 275 Senior OL/DL 5.20

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Sean Rubalcaba 6'2" 175 Senior QB [Northern Colorado]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Big Up Front, Skill Players
Team Weaknesses: Must Replace All-State QB, RB

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 43
2011 National Rank: #517
2011 State Rank: #8
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2012 Starting Power Rating: 42.3
2012 National Rank: #461
2012 State Rank: #5
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 22.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1724
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 20.8
Dynasty Record: 64-35 (23-10 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 11-1
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 41.9
2011 Points Against Average: 14.8
2011 Differential: +27.1
2011 Wins: #755 Highlands Ranch (51-35), #1377 Chaparral (Parker) (35-21), #1521 Fountain-Fort Carson (Fountain) (28-14), #2770 Montrose (49-21), #3548 Chatfield (Littleton) (51-17), #4224 Fruita Monument (Fruita) (42-14), #5784 Westminster (50-14), #6792 Durango (41-6), #7732 Overland (Aurora) (35-0), #8068 Grand Junction Central (Grand Junction) (47-0), #9736 Standley Lake (Westminster) (50-0)
2011 Losses: #378 Lakewood (36-24)
2011 Opponents W-L: 67-63
Recent League Championships: 2011, 2010, 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Southwestern), 2005 (4A Southwestern), 2003 (tied for 1st; 4A Southwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/24 Prairie View (Henderson), 9/1 Mountain Vista (Highlands Ranch), 9/7 Rocky Mountain (Fort Collins), 9/14 at Ralston Valley (Arvada), 9/21 at Mountain Range (Westminster), 9/28 Fruita Monument (Fruita), 10/6 Durango, 10/19 at Montrose, 10/26 at Grand Junction Central (Grand Junction)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Ralston Valley (Arvada) (43.4), Montrose (29.2), Mountain Vista (Highlands Ranch) (23.1)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Prairie View (Henderson) (-8.9), Durango (-3.9), Grand Junction Central (Grand Junction) (-3.5)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12 (21.2 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.8
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2012 Projected League Finish: 1st
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 36%