Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 5A Region I District 4 (moving from 5A Region I District 7)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #62

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Sheldon Neuse 6'1" 165 Senior QB 4.40
Adonis Ramos 6'1" 185 Senior WR 4.50
Anthony Villalobos 6'3" 245 Senior DE 4.70

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Aaron Curry 6'3" 270 Senior DT 4.85 [Nebraska]
Cea'Van Bowman 6'1" 190 Senior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Passing Game, Seniors, Young Talent On Defense
Team Weaknesses: Difficult Schedule

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 35.9
2011 National Rank: #1049
2011 State Rank: #128
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 35.8
2012 National Rank: #878
2012 State Rank: #124
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 24.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1411
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.1
Dynasty Record: 50-45 (34-27 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 6-5
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th)
2011 Points For Average: 25.5
2011 Points Against Average: 22
2011 Differential: +3.5
2011 Wins: #439 Keller Central (Keller) (24-16), #2371 Northwest (Justin) (37-14), #2601 Keller (38-10), #3433 Ennis (14-13), #4774 Smith [Newman] (Carrollton) (51-17), #5326 Saginaw (28-9)
2011 Losses: #14 Carroll (Southlake) (28-26), #153 Marcus (Flower Mound) (34-0), #369 Guyer [John H.] (Denton) (41-21), #711 Summit (Arlington) (38-22), #807 Coppell (22-19)
2011 Opponents W-L: 70-53
Recent League Championships: 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 Grapevine, 9/7 at Dallas Jesuit (Dallas), 9/13 Hebron (Carrollton), 9/28 at Richland (North Richland Hills), 10/4 Northwest (Justin), 10/11 at Keller, 10/19 at Keller Central (Keller), 10/26 Haltom (Haltom City), 11/2 at Carroll (Southlake), 11/9 Timber Creek (Fort Worth)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Carroll (Southlake) (66.4), Dallas Jesuit (Dallas) (47.6), Hebron (Carrollton) (41.8)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Richland (North Richland Hills) (12.2), Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (12.5), Haltom (Haltom City) (12.9)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30 (36.7 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30.4
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.4
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #55
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #296
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%