El Molino (Forestville, CA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lions Colors: Red/Black/White Coach: Matt Transue League: Sonoma County Section: North Coast Playoff Division: IV Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 3 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Monico Gutirrez 5'9" 240 Senior OL/DL Frank Nolan 5'7" 165 Senior QB/LB Owen Sunke 5'7" 170 Junior FB/LB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: OL Team Weaknesses: Low Roster Numbers RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: -0.8 2011 National Rank: #8280 2011 State Rank: #629 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: -9.3 2012 National Rank: #10189 2012 State Rank: #744 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): -0.1 Dynasty National Rank: #8245 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.2 Dynasty Record: 32-62 (9-45 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 4-6 2011 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (5th) 2011 Points For Average: 15.8 2011 Points Against Average: 28.5 2011 Differential: -12.7 2011 Wins: #3345 Casa Grande (Petaluma) (20-13), #7326 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (21-20), #9177 Petaluma (21-17), #12978 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (21-14) 2011 Losses: #841 Windsor (47-14), #3297 Fortuna (36-15), #3635 Healdsburg (18-6), #4871 Analy (Sebastopol) (38-0), #5861 Alhambra (Martinez) (54-19), #7946 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (28-21) 2011 Opponents W-L: 63-48 Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 at Fortuna, 8/31 at Justin-Siena (Napa), 9/7 St. Bernard's (Eureka), 9/14 Middletown, 9/28 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa), 10/5 at Petaluma, 10/12 Analy (Sebastopol), 10/19 vs Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 10/26 Piner (Santa Rosa), 11/2 vs Healdsburg Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Fortuna (15.8), Healdsburg (12.7), Analy (Sebastopol) (7.1) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (-25.9), Piner (Santa Rosa) (-10.5), Middletown (-10.1) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.4 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.3 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #688 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8408 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7 2012 Projected League Finish: 5th 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%