Dutch Fork (Irmo, SC)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Silver Foxes
Colors: Green/Silver
Coach: Tom Knotts
League: AAAA Region V (moving from AAAA Region IV)
Playoff Division: AAAA
Playoff Division Rank: #21

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2011 JV Record: 11-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Jordan Berry 5'10" 180 WR 4.35
Derek Olenchuck 5'11" 185 QB 4.60
Jamar Winston 6'8" 245 DE 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Solid OL, WR Core, Strong DL
Team Weaknesses: Young Secondary

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 42.6
2011 National Rank: #552
2011 State Rank: #13
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -7.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 33.9
2012 National Rank: #1067
2012 State Rank: #31
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 21.9
Dynasty National Rank: #1852
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 13.2
Dynasty Record: 60-50 (27-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 10-3
2011 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 36.4
2011 Points Against Average: 15.5
2011 Differential: +20.9
2011 Wins: #960 Blythewood (14-0), #1316 Richland Northeast (Columbia) (49-30), #2370 Irmo (Columbia) (24-0), #2370 Irmo (Columbia) (31-9), #2370 Irmo (Columbia) (42-14), #2972 Spring Valley (Columbia) (47-14), #3070 White Knoll (Lexington) (45-0), #3736 Ridge View (Columbia) (34-2), #3850 Chapin (35-0), #6905 Lugoff-Elgin (Lugoff) (41-0)
2011 Losses: #413 Lexington (56-49), #488 Boiling Springs (Spartanburg) (28-27), #541 North Augusta (49-35)
2011 Opponents W-L: 84-73
Recent League Championships: 2011 (AAAA Region IV), 2010 (AAAA Region IV), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/25 vs St. Xavier (Louisville, KY), 8/25 vs Gallatin County (Warsaw, KY), 8/31 Fort Mill, 9/7 at Rock Hill, 9/14 at Dorman (Roebuck), 9/21 Goose Creek, 9/28 Irmo (Columbia), 10/5 at South Aiken (Aiken), 10/12 Aiken, 10/19 at White Knoll (Lexington), 10/26 at Lexington (NC), 10/26 at Lexington, 11/2 North Augusta
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Goose Creek (67.3), St. Xavier (Louisville, KY) (50.9), North Augusta (42.8)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Gallatin County (Warsaw, KY) (-2.4), Lexington (NC) (4.3), South Aiken (Aiken) (8.7)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.5 (28.7 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 28.5
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #436
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-5
2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%