Chugiak (Eagle River, AK)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Columbia/Black/White
Coach: Duncan Shackelford
League: Cook Inlet
Playoff Division: Large
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2011 JV Record: 4-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Tyler Rohde 6'0" 175 Senior WR/FS 4.60
Kenny Pegues 6'1" 250 Junior T/DE 5.00
Dakota Benzel 5'10" 210 Senior G/MLB 4.85

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Team Speed, Commitment To Winning, Leadership
Team Weaknesses: A Few Holes To Fill On OL, Lost Talented LB, Young At Some Key Positions

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 21
2011 National Rank: #3086
2011 State Rank: #4
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 16.5
2012 National Rank: #3676
2012 State Rank: #8
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 19.4
Dynasty National Rank: #2326
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.9
Dynasty Record: 39-40 [42-37 on the field] (32-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 2-6
2011 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 6th)
2011 Points For Average: 18.2
2011 Points Against Average: 27.4
2011 Differential: -9.2
2011 Wins: #3325 West (Anchorage) (34-32), #4073 East (Anchorage) (24-7)
2011 Losses: #467 Service (Anchorage) (42-6), #1944 South (Anchorage) (forfeit), #4078 Dimond (Anchorage) (21-14), #4531 Bartlett (Anchorage) (35-13), #8900 Eagle River (forfeit), #11186 Colony (Palmer) (forfeit)
2011 Opponents W-L: 37-35-1
Recent League Championships: 2007, 2003 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/11 at West Valley (Fairbanks), 8/17 Dimond [A. J.] (Anchorage), 8/25 vs West (Anchorage), 8/31 South (Anchorage), 9/8 vs Service (Anchorage), 9/15 Eagle River, 9/22 vs Bartlett (Anchorage), 9/28 East (Anchorage)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Service (Anchorage) (42.6), South (Anchorage) (25.1), West (Anchorage) (25)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Eagle River (-3.5), Bartlett (Anchorage) (4.8), Dimond [A. J.] (Anchorage) (13.7)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.1
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.3
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.2
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #6
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1982
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-4
2012 Projected League Finish: 5th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%