Centauri (La Jara, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Red/White
Coach: Kyle Forster
League: 1A Southern Peaks (moving from 2A Mountain)
Playoff Division: 1A
Playoff Division Rank: #12

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2011 JV Record: 4-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Micah Keys 5'8" 165 Senior OLB 4.90
Austin Velasque 5'8" 175 Senior FB/ILB 4.90
Austin Valdez 5'6" 170 Senior RB/ILB 5.00

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Varsity Experience, Young Talent
Team Weaknesses: Many Sophomores

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: -1.9
2011 National Rank: #8503
2011 State Rank: #120
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.6
2012 Starting Power Rating: 0.4
2012 National Rank: #7612
2012 State Rank: #108
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): -5.8
Dynasty National Rank: #10120
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 7.4
Dynasty Record: 32-49 (14-31 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 5-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 4th)
2011 Points For Average: 22.6
2011 Points Against Average: 23.9
2011 Differential: -1.3
2011 Wins: #8581 Alamosa (41-27), #9979 Monte Vista (26-21), #12186 Montezuma-Cortez (Cortez) (14-7), #12452 Del Norte (41-0), #12713 Salida (40-6)
2011 Losses: #2029 Bayfield (39-6), #4756 Trinidad (39-14), #6761 Pagosa Springs (43-0), #7063 Buena Vista (33-21)
2011 Opponents W-L: 51-43
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/4/11 Alamosa (41-27)

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at Pagosa Springs, 9/7 at Lamar, 9/15 Paonia, 9/22 Lake County (Leadville), 9/29 Center, 10/5 at Ignacio, 10/13 at Del Norte, 10/19 Dolores, 10/26 at Monte Vista
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Lamar (8), Monte Vista (1.9), Pagosa Springs (-3.6)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Lake County (Leadville) (-40), Center (-38.1), Ignacio (-31.6)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -18.5
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.5
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 4%