Casa Grande (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Gauchos
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: Trent Herzog
League: North Bay (moving from Sonoma County)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2011 JV Record: 4-5-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Elijah Qualls 6'2" 285 Senior DL/RB 4.80 [Washington]
Cole Boggs 5'9" 175 Senior WR/CB 4.55
Jarred Roberts 5'10" 180 Senior FS/WR 4.68

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Depth, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Experience

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 19.7
2011 National Rank: #3344
2011 State Rank: #281
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 24.2
2012 National Rank: #2251
2012 State Rank: #188
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 26.2
Dynasty National Rank: #1177
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 0.8
Dynasty Record: 85-24-2 (48-6 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 8-4
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (tied for 2nd)
2011 Points For Average: 28.7
2011 Points Against Average: 16.4
2011 Differential: +12.3
2011 Wins: #3635 Healdsburg (31-13), #4871 Analy (Sebastopol) (10-9), #4872 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (48-6), #5856 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (23-14), #5856 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (14-10), #7946 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (35-0), #9177 Petaluma (35-9), #10644 Ygnacio Valley (Concord) (56-13)
2011 Losses: #841 Windsor (14-7), #2720 Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park) (42-35), #8219 Ukiah (47-37), #8281 El Molino (Forestville) (20-13)
2011 Opponents W-L: 66-71
Recent League Championships: 2010 (Sonoma County), 2008 (Sonoma County), 2007 (tied for 1st; Sonoma County), 2006 (Sonoma County), 2005 (tied for 1st; Sonoma County), 2004 (Sonoma County), 2003 (Sonoma County)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/24 at Eureka, 8/31 Heritage (Brentwood), 9/7 Napa, 9/21 at Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 9/28 Santa Rosa, 10/5 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa), 10/12 at Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park), 10/19 at Ukiah, 10/26 at Windsor, 11/2 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Windsor (30), Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (29.8), Heritage (Brentwood) (22.9)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Ukiah (-11.1), Santa Rosa (-6.1), Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (0.8)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.3 (9.8 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.8
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +8.5
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #302
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3110
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 2%