Carlsbad (CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Purple/White Coach: Thadd MacNeal League: Avocado - West Section: San Diego Playoff Division: I Playoff Division Rank: #3 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 2011 JV Record: 9-1 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Leo Marin 6'3" 215 Senior LB 4.50 Shawn Cameron 5'9" 180 Senior RB 4.50 Christian Chapman 6'2" 190 Junior QB 4.80 D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION Tanner Wrisley 6'4" 195 Senior QB [Harvard] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Talented Junior Class, Strength/Conditioning, Team Speed Team Weaknesses: Youth RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 25.4 2011 National Rank: #2324 2011 State Rank: #208 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: 31.7 2012 National Rank: #1277 2012 State Rank: #125 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 33 Dynasty National Rank: #493 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 0.1 Dynasty Record: 63-40-2 [66-37-2 on the field] (26-14-2 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 7-5 2011 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd) 2011 Points For Average: 23.1 2011 Points Against Average: 22.6 2011 Differential: +0.5 2011 Wins: #2538 Torrey Pines (San Diego) (14-10), #3445 San Diego (36-35), #3676 El Camino (Oceanside) (21-6), #6062 Granite Hills (El Cajon) (49-7), #6305 Ramona (31-9), #6713 Fallbrook (31-17), #9106 Rancho Buena Vista (Vista) (54-14) 2011 Losses: #204 Poway (31-13), #426 Oceanside (37-0), #720 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (35-0), #1020 St. Augustine (San Diego) (39-0), #1434 Vista (31-28) 2011 Opponents W-L: 69-67-2 Recent Section Championships: 2006, 2005 Recent League Championships: 2006 (Avocado), 2005 (Avocado) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/31 St. Augustine (San Diego), 9/7 San Diego, 9/14 Ramona, 9/21 at Westview (San Diego), 9/28 Fallbrook, 10/5 at Oceanside, 10/12 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad), 10/19 El Camino (Oceanside), 10/26 at Poway, 11/2 at Vista Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Poway (52.6), Oceanside (46.2), La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (42.1) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Ramona (5.3), Fallbrook (8.9), San Diego (15) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.3 (22.8 overall) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 27.5 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.2 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #98 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #530 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4 2012 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |