Briar Woods (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: AA Dulles
Playoff Division: 4
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2011 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Trace McSorley 6'1" 175 Sophomore QB/DB 4.51
Matt Rolin 6'4" 215 Junior LB/TE 4.60 [South Carolina]
Cam Serigne 6'3" 230 Junior TE/LB 4.61 [Wake Forest]

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Alex Carter 6'1" 185 Senior DB 4.4 [Stanford]
Justin Baker 5'10" 265 Senior DT 5.1
Jackson Matteo 6'5" 275 Senior OT

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Balanced Offense, Offensive Backfield
Team Weaknesses: Secondary, Special Teams

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 50.5
2011 National Rank: #226
2011 State Rank: #4
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -8.7
2012 Starting Power Rating: 43.7
2012 National Rank: #394
2012 State Rank: #6
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 25.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1300
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 27.2
Dynasty Record: 52-20 (27-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 14-1
2011 League Record/Finish: 8-0 (1st)
2011 Points For Average: 38.1
2011 Points Against Average: 8
2011 Differential: +30.1
2011 Wins: #391 Christiansburg (28-26), #1208 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (35-7), #1208 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (29-19), #1502 Powhatan (21-7), #1983 Grafton (Yorktown) (31-0), #2941 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (38-0), #3787 Heritage (Leesburg) (56-14), #3998 Park View (Sterling) (49-21), #3998 Park View (Sterling) (53-3), #6385 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (37-0), #6846 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (50-0), #7260 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (51-6), #8335 Freedom (South Riding) (45-3), #10311 Dominion (Sterling) (48-0)
2011 Losses: #1354 Broad Run (Ashburn) (14-0)
2011 Opponents W-L: 91-79
Recent State Championships: 2011, 2010
Recent League Championships: 2011, 2010
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: 14
Streak List: 9/10/11 Park View (Sterling) (53-3), 9/16/11 Dominion (Sterling) (48-0), 9/23/11 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (51-6), 9/30/11 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (38-0), 10/6/11 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (50-0), 10/14/11 Heritage (Leesburg) (56-14), 10/21/11 Freedom (South Riding) (45-3), 10/28/11 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (37-0), 11/4/11 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (35-7), 11/11/11 Park View (Sterling) (49-21), 11/18/11 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (29-19), 11/25/11 Powhatan (21-7), 12/3/11 Grafton (Yorktown) (31-0), 12/10/11 Christiansburg (28-26)

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/24 Patriot (Nokesville), 8/31 at Broad Run (Ashburn), 9/7 at Park View (Sterling), 9/14 Dominion (Sterling), 9/21 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 9/28 at Tuscarora (Leesburg), 10/4 Woodgrove (Purcellville), 10/12 at Heritage (Leesburg), 10/26 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville), 11/2 at Loudoun County (Leesburg)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Loudoun County (Leesburg) (34.2), Broad Run (Ashburn) (31.8), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (25.4)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Dominion (Sterling) (-9.7), Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (4.5), Woodgrove (Purcellville) (5.6)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.2 (22.9 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.5
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.3
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #138
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3446
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2012 Projected League Finish: 1st
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 82%