Blair Oaks (Jefferson City, MO) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Colors: Green/White Coach: Brad Drehle League: Tri-County Playoff Division: 2 Playoff Division Rank: #4 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2011 JV Record: 5-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Daniel Castillo 6'0" 185 Senior QB/LB 4.70 Derek Otto 5'9" 190 Senior RB/LB 4.60 Eli Roberts 5'9" 190 Senior RB/LB 4.70 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience At Skill Positions, Athletic OL, LB Team Weaknesses: Experience RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 19 2011 National Rank: #3496 2011 State Rank: #65 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4 2012 Starting Power Rating: 18.5 2012 National Rank: #3257 2012 State Rank: #54 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 24.7 Dynasty National Rank: #1411 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.2 Dynasty Record: 97-18 (43-2 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 11-3 2011 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd) 2011 Points For Average: 42 2011 Points Against Average: 24.4 2011 Differential: +17.6 2011 Wins: #2936 Macon (27-14), #4887 South Callaway (Mokane) (14-8), #4936 Grain Valley (70-48), #6757 Eldon (46-29), #7685 California (29-7), #8659 Versailles (35-27), #12265 Hermann (51-0), #12431 Montgomery County (Montgomery City) (69-34), #12697 Carrollton (56-27), #13200 Clopton/Elsberry (Clarksville) (48-32), #13384 Warsaw (75-16) 2011 Losses: #2384 Osage (Kaiser) (27-25), #2430 Lafayette County (Higginsville) (27-24), #4887 South Callaway (Mokane) (45-19) 2011 Opponents W-L: 93-68 Recent State Championships: 2006, 2004 Recent League Championships: 2010, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 Moberly, 8/31 at Owensville, 9/7 Hallsville, 9/14 at Southern Boone (Ashland), 9/21 Osage (Kaiser), 9/28 at California, 10/5 Warsaw, 10/12 Versailles, 10/19 at Eldon Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Osage (Kaiser) (18.8), Eldon (4.7), Moberly (2.3) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Warsaw (-29.5), Hallsville (-19.8), Southern Boone (Ashland) (-15.3) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.5 (1.4 overall) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.7 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.8 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #197 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9406 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1 2012 Projected League Finish: 1st 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 49% |