Blair Oaks (Jefferson City, MO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Brad Drehle
League: Tri-County
Playoff Division: 2
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2011 JV Record: 5-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Daniel Castillo 6'0" 185 Senior QB/LB 4.70
Derek Otto 5'9" 190 Senior RB/LB 4.60
Eli Roberts 5'9" 190 Senior RB/LB 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience At Skill Positions, Athletic OL, LB
Team Weaknesses: Experience

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 19
2011 National Rank: #3496
2011 State Rank: #65
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2012 Starting Power Rating: 18.5
2012 National Rank: #3257
2012 State Rank: #54
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 24.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1411
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.2
Dynasty Record: 97-18 (43-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 11-3
2011 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2011 Points For Average: 42
2011 Points Against Average: 24.4
2011 Differential: +17.6
2011 Wins: #2936 Macon (27-14), #4887 South Callaway (Mokane) (14-8), #4936 Grain Valley (70-48), #6757 Eldon (46-29), #7685 California (29-7), #8659 Versailles (35-27), #12265 Hermann (51-0), #12431 Montgomery County (Montgomery City) (69-34), #12697 Carrollton (56-27), #13200 Clopton/Elsberry (Clarksville) (48-32), #13384 Warsaw (75-16)
2011 Losses: #2384 Osage (Kaiser) (27-25), #2430 Lafayette County (Higginsville) (27-24), #4887 South Callaway (Mokane) (45-19)
2011 Opponents W-L: 93-68
Recent State Championships: 2006, 2004
Recent League Championships: 2010, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/24 Moberly, 8/31 at Owensville, 9/7 Hallsville, 9/14 at Southern Boone (Ashland), 9/21 Osage (Kaiser), 9/28 at California, 10/5 Warsaw, 10/12 Versailles, 10/19 at Eldon
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Osage (Kaiser) (18.8), Eldon (4.7), Moberly (2.3)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Warsaw (-29.5), Hallsville (-19.8), Southern Boone (Ashland) (-15.3)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.5 (1.4 overall)
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.7
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.8
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #197
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9406
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2012 Projected League Finish: 1st
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 49%