| Belfry (KY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Pirates Colors: Red/White Coach: Philip Haywood League: 3A District 8 Playoff Division: 3A Playoff Division Rank: #2 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Sani Warren 6'0" 165 Junior QB Tony Messer 6'4" 230 Senior TE Justin Johnson 5'7" 175 Junior RB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience On Defense, Talented Junior Class Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On OL, WR RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 29.9 2011 National Rank: #1703 2011 State Rank: #21 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4 2012 Starting Power Rating: 27.9 2012 National Rank: #1730 2012 State Rank: #22 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 24.4 Dynasty National Rank: #1450 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6 Dynasty Record: 106-23 (40-2 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 13-2 2011 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st) 2011 Points For Average: 38.6 2011 Points Against Average: 14.1 2011 Differential: +24.5 2011 Wins: #2154 Breathitt County (Jackson) (28-14), #2244 Ashland Blazer [Paul G.] (Ashland) (7-6), #2726 Garrard County (Lancaster) (34-27), #4918 Clay [Henry] (Lexington) (34-21), #5576 Pikeville (55-14), #6260 Pike County Central (Pikeville) (52-20), #7216 Prestonsburg (48-30), #9065 Harrison County (Cynthiana) (34-7), #9187 Lawrence County (Louisa) (46-16), #9187 Lawrence County (Louisa) (48-6), #10952 Clark [Sheldon] (Inez) (56-14), #14289 East Ridge (Lick Creek) (54-0), #14445 Jackson County (McKee) (55-0) 2011 Losses: #925 Central (Louisville) (15-14), #1689 Johnson Central (Paintsville) (21-14) 2011 Opponents W-L: 95-84 Recent State Championships: 2004 (2A) Recent League Championships: 2011, 2010 (tied for 1st), 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006 (tied for 1st; 2A District 8), 2005 (2A District 8), 2004 (2A District 8), 2003 (2A District 8) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 vs Harrison County (Cynthiana), 8/31 Clay [Henry] (Lexington), 9/7 Prestonsburg, 9/14 at Pikeville, 9/21 at Clark [Sheldon] (Inez), 9/28 East Ridge (Lick Creek), 10/5 at Ashland Blazer [Paul G.] (Ashland), 10/12 at Lawrence County (Louisa), 10/19 Pike County Central (Pikeville), 10/26 at Johnson Central (Paintsville) Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Johnson Central (Paintsville) (30), Ashland Blazer [Paul G.] (Ashland) (22.4), Clay [Henry] (Lexington) (14.2) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: East Ridge (Lick Creek) (-42.5), Clark [Sheldon] (Inez) (-13), Lawrence County (Louisa) (-6.1) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.3 (4.8 overall) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.6 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.3 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #95 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7070 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1 2012 Projected League Finish: 1st 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 31% |