Bay City (TX) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Black Cats Colors: Royal Blue/Gold Coach: Dan Burk League: 4A Region III District 23 Playoff Division: 4A Playoff Division Rank: #150 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 1 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Larry Cunningham 6'5" 190 WR 4.60 Jadon Morales 6'0" 205 LB 4.70 Alex MacLennan 6'2" 250 OL/DL 4.90 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION Derek Brown 6'3" 215 Senior ATH 4.5 [Rice] John De La Rosa 6'6" 295 Senior OL [UTEP] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Passing Game, New Coaches/System Team Weaknesses: Young Defense, Recent Success RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 14.1 2011 National Rank: #4562 2011 State Rank: #473 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.1 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: 7 2012 National Rank: #5924 2012 State Rank: #620 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 18.4 Dynasty National Rank: #2512 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.4 Dynasty Record: 45-51 (24-25 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 3-7 2011 League Record/Finish: 1-5 (6th) 2011 Points For Average: 17.4 2011 Points Against Average: 23.8 2011 Differential: -6.4 2011 Wins: #5551 Yates [Jack] (Houston) (12-6), #6164 Brazosport (Freeport) (40-37), #9552 Victoria West (Victoria) (12-7) 2011 Losses: #382 Angleton (28-7), #809 Columbia (West Columbia) (14-9), #850 Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg) (45-7), #1427 El Campo (38-32), #2313 Sweeny (30-28), #2875 Lamar Consolidated (Rosenberg) (14-10), #3739 Foster (Richmond) (19-17) 2011 Opponents W-L: 66-48 Recent League Championships: 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A Region III District 24), 2003 (4A Region III District 24) Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/31 vs Sweeny, 9/14 El Campo, 9/21 at Victoria West (Victoria), 9/28 at Brazosport (Freeport), 10/5 Columbia (West Columbia), 10/12 Foster (Richmond), 10/18 at Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg), 10/26 Angleton, 11/3 at Lamar Consolidated (Rosenberg), 11/9 George Ranch (Richmond) Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg) (48.3), Angleton (46), Columbia (West Columbia) (35.7) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: George Ranch (Richmond) (-22.7), Victoria West (Victoria) (-6.2), Brazosport (Freeport) (4.6) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.2 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.3 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.9 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #251 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1597 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7 2012 Projected League Finish: 5th 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |