Bay Area Christian (League City, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Broncos
Colors: Red/Navy/White
Coach: Chris Jones
League: TAPPS Division III District 6 (moving from TAPPS Division III District 4)
Playoff Division: TAPPS III
Playoff Division Rank: #14

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Nathan Freberg QB
Christian Wooley WR
Conner Crow K

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Second Year With Coaching Staff, QB, Young Talent
Team Weaknesses: Recent Success, Secondary Depth

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: -18.6
2011 National Rank: #11970
2011 State Rank: #1000
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: -19.1
2012 National Rank: #11968
2012 State Rank: #1017
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): -17.9
Dynasty National Rank: #12897
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.2
Dynasty Record: 52-40 (28-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 4-6
2011 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (3rd)
2011 Points For Average: 20.6
2011 Points Against Average: 26.2
2011 Differential: -5.6
2011 Wins: #11964 Lutheran South (Houston) (27-20), #13795 St. Joseph Catholic (Bryan) (45-22), #13872 KIPP Academy (Houston) (27-14), #14032 Lee [Robert E.] (Houston) (41-6)
2011 Losses: #6802 Danbury (47-6), #7051 Fort Bend Christian Academy (Sugar Land) (44-22), #7715 Cypress Christian (Houston) (40-6), #7715 Cypress Christian (Houston) (28-6), #11097 Faith West Academy (Katy) (14-13), #11097 Faith West Academy (Katy) (27-13)
2011 Opponents W-L: 41-58
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; TAPPS Division III District 4), 2008 (TAPPS Division III District 4), 2007 (TAPPS Division III District 4), 2006 (TAPPS Division III District 4), 2003 (TAPPS 3A District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at Lutheran South (Houston), 9/7 Lutheran North (Houston), 9/14 Evadale, 9/28 KIPP Sunnyside (Houston), 10/12 Cypress Christian (Houston), 10/19 Rosehill Christian (Tomball), 10/26 at Legacy Christian Academy (Beaumont), 11/2 at O'Connell (Galveston), 11/9 The Woodlands Christian Academy (The Woodlands)
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Cypress Christian (Houston) (-3.6), The Woodlands Christian Academy (The Woodlands) (-7.9), Lutheran South (Houston) (-14.6)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: O'Connell (Galveston) (-32.3), Evadale (-22.1), Lutheran North (Houston) (-18.4)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.2
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.6
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.6
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #1073
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11021
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2012 Projected League Finish: 4th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%