Bastrop (TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Maroon/White
Coach: Gerald Perry
League: 4A Region III District 17 (moving from 4A Region II District 16)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #121

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Antuwan Davis 5'11" 180 DB 4.40 [Texas]
Paul Whitmill 5'11" 200 LB 4.50 [TCU]
Jarvis Brawley 6'2" 245 OL 5.40

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Off-Season Improvement, Young Talent
Team Weaknesses: Young At Key Positions, Depth

RATINGS
2011 Final Power Rating: 12.1
2011 National Rank: #4964
2011 State Rank: #505
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2012 Starting Power Rating: 11.8
2012 National Rank: #4733
2012 State Rank: #505
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 16.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2980
2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.8
Dynasty Record: 45-52 (27-33 in league)

HISTORICAL
2011 Overall Record: 3-6
2011 League Record/Finish: 1-5 (6th)
2011 Points For Average: 22.2
2011 Points Against Average: 27.9
2011 Differential: -5.7
2011 Wins: #6356 Rudder [James Earl] (Bryan) (27-17), #6432 Seguin (13-0), #8018 San Marcos (48-23)
2011 Losses: #883 Hendrickson (Pflugerville) (41-14), #1253 Hutto (40-7), #1632 Connally [John B.] (Austin) (47-35), #2240 Manor (29-12), #2457 Elgin (28-23), #5106 McNeil (Austin) (26-21)
2011 Opponents W-L: 42-52-1
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Region IV District 25)
Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2012 Schedule: 8/31 at Vista Ridge (Cedar Park), 9/7 Gonzales, 9/14 Akins (Austin), 9/21 at Manor, 9/28 East View (Georgetown), 10/12 at Cedar Creek (Bastrop), 10/18 Hutto, 10/26 at Connally [John B.] (Austin), 11/2 at Elgin, 11/9 Georgetown
Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Gonzales (35.9), Georgetown (33.3), Connally [John B.] (Austin) (30.8)
Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Akins (Austin) (-7.4), Vista Ridge (Cedar Park) (23.1), Hutto (23.9)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.7
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.4
2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.3
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #276
2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1766
2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2012 Projected League Finish: 6th
2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%