Aurora (OH) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Greenmen Colors: Dark Green/White Coach: Bob Mihalik League: Chagrin Valley - Chagrin Playoff Division: II Playoff Division Rank: #6 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2011 JV Record: 9-1 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Patrick Dougherty 6'5" 260 Senior OL/DL 4.90 Zach Quinn 6'4" 220 Senior TB/LB 4.50 Zach Smierciak 6'3" 225 Senior OLB/TE 4.60 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION Anthony Melchiori 5'11" 185 Senior WR 4.80 [Kent State] Troy Watson 6'4" 275 Senior OL [Ohio] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Talented Senior Class Team Weaknesses: Depth, QB, WR RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 46.9 2011 National Rank: #328 2011 State Rank: #22 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4 2012 Starting Power Rating: 42.2 2012 National Rank: #468 2012 State Rank: #30 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 26.5 Dynasty National Rank: #1138 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.2 Dynasty Record: 81-27 (47-12 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 12-2 2011 League Record/Finish: 6-1 (2nd) 2011 Points For Average: 37.6 2011 Points Against Average: 14.6 2011 Differential: +23 2011 Wins: #336 Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (21-14), #737 Twinsburg (19-7), #1284 Tallmadge (34-14), #1975 Madison (45-20), #2080 West Geauga (Chesterland) (17-7), #2187 Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (49-7), #4060 Orange (Pepper Pike) (52-15), #4157 Perry (54-25), #6522 Wickliffe (43-7), #7482 Revere (Richfield) (52-21), #8660 Crestwood (Mantua) (42-0), #8778 Harvey [Thomas W.] (Painesville) (68-7) 2011 Losses: #246 Avon (43-20), #315 Chagrin Falls (17-10) 2011 Opponents W-L: 89-66 Recent State Championships: 2008 (3) Recent League Championships: 2010 (tied for 1st), 2008, 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006, 2005 Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 at Twinsburg, 8/31 at Ravenna, 9/7 Revere (Richfield), 9/14 at Chagrin Falls, 9/21 Orange (Pepper Pike), 9/28 West Geauga (Chesterland), 10/5 at Wickliffe, 10/12 Perry, 10/19 Harvey [Thomas W.] (Painesville), 10/26 at Kenston (Chagrin Falls) Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Chagrin Falls (50.6), Twinsburg (36), Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (28.4) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Harvey [Thomas W.] (Painesville) (-3), Revere (Richfield) (1.8), Wickliffe (5.7) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.1 (27.8 overall) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.2 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6.1 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #127 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1815 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1 2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 11% |