Analy (Sebastopol, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Tigers Colors: Midnight Blue/White Coach: Daniel Bourdon League: Sonoma County Section: North Coast Playoff Division: III Playoff Division Rank: #11 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 2011 JV Record: 7-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Aaron Maher 6'3" 210 Senior WR/DB Maurice Freeman 6'2" 180 Senior WR/DB Kyle Lewis 5'10" 185 Senior RB/DB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Size On Lines, Athleticism Team Weaknesses: Inexperience At Key Positions RATINGS 2011 Final Power Rating: 12.6 2011 National Rank: #4870 2011 State Rank: #398 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2012 Starting Power Rating: 5.9 2012 National Rank: #6201 2012 State Rank: #479 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2011 Rating): 8.8 Dynasty National Rank: #5185 2012 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.7 Dynasty Record: 48-51 (20-34 in league) HISTORICAL 2011 Overall Record: 6-5 2011 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th) 2011 Points For Average: 32.3 2011 Points Against Average: 22.2 2011 Differential: +10.1 2011 Wins: #5660 San Marin (Novato) (22-3), #7946 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (43-14), #8281 El Molino (Forestville) (38-0), #9177 Petaluma (41-37), #10294 Santa Rosa (55-13), #11858 Balboa (San Francisco) (63-14) 2011 Losses: #841 Windsor (36-13), #2595 Novato (34-16), #2768 Miramonte (Orinda) (36-35), #3345 Casa Grande (Petaluma) (10-9), #3635 Healdsburg (47-20) 2011 Opponents W-L: 71-54 Winning Streak Entering 2012 Season: none SCHEDULE 2012 Schedule: 8/24 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa), 9/1 at San Marin (Novato), 9/7 at Miramonte (Orinda), 9/14 Santa Rosa, 9/21 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 9/29 at Piner (Santa Rosa), 10/5 Healdsburg, 10/12 at El Molino (Forestville), 10/19 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa), 10/26 at Petaluma Highest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Miramonte (Orinda) (17.2), Healdsburg (12.7), Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (12.6) Lowest-Rated 2012 Regular Season Opponents: Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (-25.9), Piner (Santa Rosa) (-10.5), El Molino (Forestville) (-9.3) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.1 (10.4 overall) 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.2 2012 vs. 2011 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.3 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #663 2012 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8038 2012 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3 2012 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2012 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |