GENERAL
Nickname: Colonels
Colors: Navy/Gold
Coach: Mike Bolin
League: AA Northwestern
Playoff Division: AA
Playoff Division Rank: #43
D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
David Alaniz 6'5" 235 Senior TE 4.9
RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 13.6
2010 National Rank: #4602
2010 State Rank: #140
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 11.1
2011 National Rank: #4777
2011 State Rank: #145
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 18.4
Dynasty National Rank: #2916
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6
Dynasty Record: 36-19 (18-11 in league)
HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 6-5
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (tied for 3rd)
2010 Points For Average: 18
2010 Points Against Average: 15.4
2010 Differential: +2.6
2010 Wins: #4149 Millbrook (Winchester) (17-14), #4758 Musselman (Inwood, WV) (28-7), #7543 Skyline (Front Royal) (21-10), #7937 Washington (Charles Town, WV) (13-7), #8311 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (42-7), #9765 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (40-7)
2010 Losses: #1311 Louisa County (Mineral) (34-7), #1415 Handley [John] (Winchester) (30-7), #2308 Sherando (Stephens City) (14-7), #3433 Warren County (Front Royal) (19-0), #7700 Hedgesville (WV) (20-16)
2010 Opponents W-L: 64-57
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 Heritage (Leesburg), 9/2 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville), 9/9 at Musselman (Inwood, WV), 9/16 Hedgesville (WV), 9/23 at Skyline (Front Royal), 9/30 at Warren County (Front Royal), 10/7 Sherando (Stephens City), 10/21 Millbrook (Winchester), 10/28 vs Fauquier (Warrenton), 11/5 at Handley [John] (Winchester)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (35.1), Handley [John] (Winchester) (31.6), Fauquier (Warrenton) (30)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Skyline (Front Royal) (1.5), Hedgesville (WV) (2.4), Musselman (Inwood, WV) (10.8)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.5 (14 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.6
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +12.1
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #75
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2008
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 Heritage (Leesburg) [projection: 26-22 win]
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