Winters Mill (Westminster, MD)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Coach: Ken Johnson League: Monocacy Valley - Chesapeake (moving from Monocacy Valley - Blue Ridge) Playoff Division: 2A Playoff Division Rank: #22 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2010 JV Record: 8-1 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Calvert Schaefer 6'6" 250 Senior TE/DE 5.10 Andrew Shriver 5'11" 195 Senior FB/LB 4.90 Kyle Shimek 6'1" 200 Junior RB/LB 4.50 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Team Speed Team Weaknesses: Young Offensive Backfield RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 6.1 2010 National Rank: #6379 2010 State Rank: #97 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.6 2011 Starting Power Rating: 0 2011 National Rank: #7683 2011 State Rank: #113 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 3.5 Dynasty National Rank: #7006 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.9 Dynasty Record: 25-26 (17-13 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 5-5 2010 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th) 2010 Points For Average: 21.9 2010 Points Against Average: 24 2010 Differential: -2.1 2010 Wins: #7579 Liberty (Sykesville) (27-6), #9515 Frederick (21-14), #9882 North Carroll (Hampstead) (24-16), #10198 Manchester Valley (Manchester) (31-6), #11472 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (41-6) 2010 Losses: #1714 Linganore (Frederick) (42-6), #2376 South Carroll (Sykesville) (53-21), #3673 Westminster (20-3), #3835 Walkersville (49-32), #5053 Century (Sykesville) (28-13) 2010 Opponents W-L: 48-55 Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/16/11 Frederick (12-0) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/2 Oakdale (Ijamsville), 9/10 at Tuscarora (Frederick), 9/16 at Frederick, 9/23 South Carroll (Sykesville), 9/30 at Century (Sykesville), 10/6 Manchester Valley (Manchester), 10/14 at Westminster, 10/21 North Carroll (Hampstead), 10/28 Liberty (Sykesville), 11/4 at Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: South Carroll (Sykesville) (20), Westminster (17.9), Century (Sykesville) (11.6) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (-15), Manchester Valley (Manchester) (-9.1), North Carroll (Hampstead) (-7.5) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.4 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.1 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4.3 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #130 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7492 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2011 Projected League Finish: 5th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/2 Oakdale (Ijamsville) [projection: 22-21 win]